Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 25/10, 19:00
Prediction: Lujan vs Berazategui
Team pages: Lujan · Berazategui
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Lujan1.06
Berazategui0.99
1X2
Lujan
Draw
Berazategui
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Lujan
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Berazategui
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lujan
0–2–4
Berazategui
(6 last)
- Berazategui0-0Lujan
- Lujan0-1Berazategui
- Berazategui2-0Lujan
- Lujan1-1Berazategui
- Berazategui1-0Lujan
- Berazategui3-1Lujan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lujan 1577 · Berazategui 1528
| Lujan | Draw | Berazategui | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 33% | 32% |
| Market | 36% | 31% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lujan (rating 1577 vs 1528).
- H2H favours Berazategui: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lujan | Berazategui | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 2.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lujan 0–2–4 Berazategui
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lujan |
| 28/07/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Lujan | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Berazategui |
| 27/02/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Lujan |
| 05/08/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Lujan | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Berazategui |
| 02/04/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lujan |
| 09/10/22 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Lujan |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 22 | 64 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 32 | 12 | 16 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Leones de Rosario | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 23 | 49 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 27 | 41 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 40 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 40 |
| 9 | Central Ballester | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 34 | 38 |
| 10 | CA Atlas | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 29 | 37 |
| 11 | CA Claypole | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 40 | 36 |
| 12 | Yupanqui | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 36 | 35 |
| 13 | Fenix | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 32 | 34 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 38 | 29 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lujan | Berazategui |
|---|---|---|
| CA Atlas | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| CA Lugano | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lujan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 12/10 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/10 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 28/09 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Berazategui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 12/10 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lujan vs Berazategui?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lujan win (36%). Probabilities: Lujan 36%, draw 32%, Berazategui 32%.
How many goals are expected in Lujan vs Berazategui?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Lujan 1.06 · Berazategui 0.99), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lujan vs Berazategui?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.