Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 25/10, 19:00

Prediction: Deportivo Espanol vs Victoriano Arenas

Team pages: Deportivo Espanol · Victoriano Arenas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.51Total

Deportivo Espanol0.88

Victoriano Arenas0.62

1X2

40% 36% 25%

Deportivo Espanol Draw Victoriano Arenas

Markets

Under 1.5 goals 54% Not both to score 57%

Most likely score

0-0 23%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Espanol 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DDWWDWWDWW

Victoriano Arenas 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDLWDWWL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Espanol 2–4–0 Victoriano Arenas (6 last)

Victoriano Arenas0-1Deportivo Espanol
Deportivo Espanol1-0Victoriano Arenas
Victoriano Arenas0-0Deportivo Espanol
Deportivo Espanol0-0Victoriano Arenas
Victoriano Arenas0-0Deportivo Espanol
Deportivo Espanol1-1Victoriano Arenas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Espanol 1583 · Victoriano Arenas 1505

	Deportivo Espanol	Draw	Victoriano Arenas
Our model	38%	39%	23%
Market	41%	33%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 1.51 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Espanol (rating 1583 vs 1505).
H2H favours Deportivo Espanol: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Espanol	Victoriano Arenas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.1	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.4	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.70

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 1.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:15 +5’	2.20	2.70	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Espanol 2–4–0 Victoriano Arenas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/10/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Victoriano Arenas	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Espanol
17/07/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	1-0 HT 0-0	Victoriano Arenas
23/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Victoriano Arenas	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Espanol
23/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	0-0 HT 0-0	Victoriano Arenas
27/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Victoriano Arenas	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Espanol
25/06/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	1-1 HT 0-1	Victoriano Arenas

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	32	19	7	6	46	22	64
2	Canuelas FC	32	17	10	5	43	22	61
3	Deportivo Espanol	32	12	16	4	26	16	52
4	Leones de Rosario	32	13	12	7	31	25	51
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	32	13	10	9	32	23	49
6	General Lamadrid	32	9	14	9	23	27	41
7	Sportivo Barracas	32	11	7	14	32	32	40
8	El Porvenir	32	8	16	8	28	32	40
9	Central Ballester	32	10	8	14	29	34	38
10	CA Atlas	32	9	10	13	24	29	37
11	CA Claypole	32	9	9	14	27	40	36
12	Yupanqui	32	8	11	13	33	36	35
13	Fenix	32	8	10	14	24	32	34
14	Deportivo Muniz	32	6	11	15	23	38	29

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Espanol

DDWWDWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
12/10	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
06/10	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
26/09	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
21/09	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
11/09	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
06/09	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
31/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
24/08	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
17/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D

Victoriano Arenas

LWDDLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
12/10	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
02/10	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
26/09	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
21/09	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	10	6	W
12/09	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
05/09	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
30/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
22/08	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
15/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	6	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Espanol vs Victoriano Arenas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Espanol win (40%). Probabilities: Deportivo Espanol 40%, draw 36%, Victoriano Arenas 25%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Espanol vs Victoriano Arenas?

The model expects 1.51 goals (Deportivo Espanol 0.88 · Victoriano Arenas 0.62), with a 62% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Espanol vs Victoriano Arenas?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.