Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 17/10, 20:00

Prediction: Berazategui vs Lujan

Team pages: Berazategui · Lujan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

Berazategui1.16

Lujan1.03

1X2

37% 32% 31%

Berazategui Draw Lujan

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Berazategui 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDWWDWLW

Lujan 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Berazategui 4–1–1 Lujan (6 last)

Lujan0-1Berazategui
Berazategui2-0Lujan
Lujan1-1Berazategui
Berazategui1-0Lujan
Berazategui3-1Lujan
Lujan1-0Berazategui

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Berazategui 1519 · Lujan 1565

	Berazategui	Draw	Lujan
Our model	37%	32%	31%
Market	38%	31%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lujan (rating 1519 vs 1565).
H2H favours Berazategui: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Berazategui	Lujan
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.9	1.6 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.9	2.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.7	4.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.40

X2.88

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.08

2 (+0.25)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:44 +27’	2.40	2.88	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Berazategui 4–1–1 Lujan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/07/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	0-1 HT 0-1	Berazategui
27/02/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Berazategui	2-0 HT 1-0	Lujan
05/08/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	1-1 HT 1-0	Berazategui
02/04/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Berazategui	1-0 HT 0-0	Lujan
09/10/22 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Berazategui	3-1 HT 1-1	Lujan
04/06/22 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	1-0 HT 0-0	Berazategui

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	32	19	7	6	46	22	64
2	Canuelas FC	32	17	10	5	43	22	61
3	Deportivo Espanol	32	12	16	4	26	16	52
4	Leones de Rosario	32	13	12	7	31	25	51
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	32	13	10	9	32	23	49
6	General Lamadrid	32	9	14	9	23	27	41
7	Sportivo Barracas	32	11	7	14	32	32	40
8	El Porvenir	32	8	16	8	28	32	40
9	Central Ballester	32	10	8	14	29	34	38
10	CA Atlas	32	9	10	13	24	29	37
11	CA Claypole	32	9	9	14	27	40	36
12	Yupanqui	32	8	11	13	33	36	35
13	Fenix	32	8	10	14	24	32	34
14	Deportivo Muniz	32	6	11	15	23	38	29

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Berazategui	Lujan
CA Atlas	2-0 W	1-0 W
CA Lugano	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Berazategui

LDLDWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	6	7	W
03/10	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-3	1	6	L
27/09	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	4	7	W
19/09	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
12/09	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	7	W
06/09	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	1	7	W
31/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	9	7	D
22/08	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
16/08	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	10	5	D
08/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	7	7	L

Lujan

LWDWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/10	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	9	7	W
28/09	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
19/09	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
12/09	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
06/09	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	2-3	4	8	L
29/08	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
24/08	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
16/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	6	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Berazategui vs Lujan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Berazategui win (37%). Probabilities: Berazategui 37%, draw 32%, Lujan 31%.

How many goals are expected in Berazategui vs Lujan?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Berazategui 1.16 · Lujan 1.03), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Berazategui vs Lujan?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.