Football · Iceland Premier League · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Team pages: KA Akureyri · IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
KA Akureyri2.13
IBV Vestmannaeyjar1.29
1X2
KA Akureyri
Draw
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
KA Akureyri
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KA Akureyri
4–2–0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
(6 last)
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar2-2KA Akureyri
- KA Akureyri2-0IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar3-4KA Akureyri
- KA Akureyri1-0IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar0-0KA Akureyri
- KA Akureyri2-1IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KA Akureyri (rating 1500 vs 1429).
- H2H favours KA Akureyri: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KA Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.3 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.2 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 5.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KA Akureyri 4–2–0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/26 Iceland Premier League | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-2 HT 0-1 | KA Akureyri |
| 10/05/26 Iceland Premier League | KA Akureyri | 2-0 HT 1-0 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 25/10/25 Iceland Premier League | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 3-4 HT 2-2 | KA Akureyri |
| 10/08/25 Iceland Premier League | KA Akureyri | 1-0 HT 0-0 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 18/05/25 Iceland Premier League | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | KA Akureyri |
| 28/09/23 Iceland Premier League | KA Akureyri | 2-1 HT 1-1 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valur Reykjavik | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 51 | 53 | 34 |
| 2 | Stjarnan | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 61 | 31 |
| 3 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 47 | 30 |
| 4 | Thor Akureyri | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 27 | 58 | 27 |
| 5 | KA Akureyri | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 55 | 26 |
| 6 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 50 | 22 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KA Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
|---|---|---|
| Valur Reykjavik | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Stjarnan | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Thor Akureyri | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Fram Reykjavik | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Keflavik | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KA Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 13 | W |
| 13/09 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 09/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 05/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KA Akureyri win (56%). Probabilities: KA Akureyri 56%, draw 22%, IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22%.
How many goals are expected in KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?
The model expects 3.42 goals (KA Akureyri 2.13 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.