Football · Iceland Premier League · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: IA Akranes vs Keflavik
Team pages: IA Akranes · Keflavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.85Total
IA Akranes2.28
Keflavik1.58
1X2
IA Akranes
Draw
Keflavik
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
IA Akranes
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Keflavik
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IA Akranes
1–1–4
Keflavik
(6 last)
- Keflavik5-2IA Akranes
- IA Akranes1-3Keflavik
- Keflavik3-1IA Akranes
- Keflavik0-0IA Akranes
- Keflavik3-2IA Akranes
- Keflavik0-1IA Akranes
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IA Akranes (rating 1527 vs 1477).
- H2H favours Keflavik: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IA Akranes | Keflavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 6.5 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IA Akranes 1–1–4 Keflavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/26 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 5-2 HT 2-0 | IA Akranes |
| 08/05/26 Iceland Premier League | IA Akranes | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Keflavik |
| 16/05/24 Iceland Cup | Keflavik | 3-1 HT 2-1 | IA Akranes |
| 19/04/23 Iceland Cup | Keflavik | 0-0 HT 0-0 | IA Akranes |
| 02/10/22 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 3-2 HT 2-1 | IA Akranes |
| 28/08/22 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 0-1 HT 0-0 | IA Akranes |
Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 77 | 26 | 63 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 55 | 53 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 60 | 49 | 46 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 51 | 49 | 36 |
| 5 | IA Akranes | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 49 | 34 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 50 | 29 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IA Akranes | Keflavik |
|---|---|---|
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Breidablik | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| KR Reykjavik | 1-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Valur Reykjavik | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Thor Akureyri | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Stjarnan | 5-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: IA Akranes (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IA Akranes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
Keflavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 20/09 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 14/09 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/08 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IA Akranes vs Keflavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IA Akranes win (53%). Probabilities: IA Akranes 53%, draw 22%, Keflavik 26%.
How many goals are expected in IA Akranes vs Keflavik?
The model expects 3.85 goals (IA Akranes 2.28 · Keflavik 1.58), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in IA Akranes vs Keflavik?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.