Football · Iceland Premier League · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: FH Hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri
Team pages: FH Hafnarfjordur · Thor Akureyri
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
FH Hafnarfjordur1.98
Thor Akureyri1.24
1X2
FH Hafnarfjordur
Draw
Thor Akureyri
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FH Hafnarfjordur
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Thor Akureyri
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FH Hafnarfjordur
3–2–1
Thor Akureyri
(6 last)
- Thor Akureyri1-0FH Hafnarfjordur
- FH Hafnarfjordur1-1Thor Akureyri
- Thor Akureyri2-4FH Hafnarfjordur
- Thor Akureyri2-2FH Hafnarfjordur
- FH Hafnarfjordur4-0Thor Akureyri
- FH Hafnarfjordur3-1Thor Akureyri
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FH Hafnarfjordur (rating 1535 vs 1480).
- H2H favours FH Hafnarfjordur: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FH Hafnarfjordur | Thor Akureyri | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.6 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.6 | 3.1 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 5.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FH Hafnarfjordur 3–2–1 Thor Akureyri
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/26 Iceland Premier League | Thor Akureyri | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FH Hafnarfjordur |
| 21/06/26 Iceland Premier League | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Thor Akureyri |
| 04/04/26 Iceland Cup | Thor Akureyri | 2-4 HT 1-2 | FH Hafnarfjordur |
| 11/03/25 Iceland League Cup | Thor Akureyri | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur |
| 06/03/21 Iceland League Cup | FH Hafnarfjordur | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Thor Akureyri |
| 30/07/20 Iceland Cup | FH Hafnarfjordur | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Thor Akureyri |
Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valur Reykjavik | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 51 | 53 | 34 |
| 2 | Stjarnan | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 61 | 31 |
| 3 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 47 | 30 |
| 4 | Thor Akureyri | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 27 | 58 | 27 |
| 5 | KA Akureyri | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 55 | 26 |
| 6 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 50 | 22 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FH Hafnarfjordur | Thor Akureyri |
|---|---|---|
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Valur Reykjavik | 5-3 W | 1-4 L |
| Stjarnan | 5-2 W | 3-1 W |
| KA Akureyri | 3-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Keflavik | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| IA Akranes | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FH Hafnarfjordur (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FH Hafnarfjordur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 5-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
4-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 05/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Thor Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 12 | 13 | L |
| 13/09 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 04/08 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FH Hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FH Hafnarfjordur win (53%). Probabilities: FH Hafnarfjordur 53%, draw 24%, Thor Akureyri 23%.
How many goals are expected in FH Hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri?
The model expects 3.22 goals (FH Hafnarfjordur 1.98 · Thor Akureyri 1.24), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FH Hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.