Football · Serbia Super Liga · 23/10, 18:00

Prediction: IMT Novi Belgrade vs FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

Team pages: IMT Novi Belgrade · FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

IMT Novi Belgrade1.02

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1.02

1X2

34% 31% 35%

IMT Novi Belgrade Draw FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

IMT Novi Belgrade 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDLDWW

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWLWLWWW

Head-to-head

IMT Novi Belgrade 0–2–4 FK Zeleznicar Pancevo (6 last)

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1-0IMT Novi Belgrade
IMT Novi Belgrade1-4FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
IMT Novi Belgrade0-1FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
IMT Novi Belgrade1-1FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo2-1IMT Novi Belgrade
IMT Novi Belgrade0-0FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IMT Novi Belgrade 1514 · FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1534

	IMT Novi Belgrade	Draw	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
Our model	33%	33%	34%
Market	35%	29%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IMT Novi Belgrade	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	1.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.5	2.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.5	5.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.25

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:41 +31’	2.63	3.25	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IMT Novi Belgrade 0–2–4 FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/12/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	1-0 HT 1-0	IMT Novi Belgrade
11/08/25 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	1-4 HT 0-3	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
04/05/25 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
21/12/24 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	1-1 HT 1-1	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
18/08/24 Serbia Super Liga	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	2-1 HT 1-1	IMT Novi Belgrade
22/04/24 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	12	11	1	0	32	4	34
2	Vojvodina	12	9	1	2	27	11	28
3	IMT Novi Belgrade	12	6	3	3	15	8	21
4	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	11	6	2	3	18	10	20
5	FK Radnicki 1923	11	5	2	4	17	14	17
6	FK Radnik Surdulica	12	4	5	3	17	16	17
7	Mladost Lucani	12	4	5	3	11	17	17
8	FK Cukaricki	12	4	3	5	17	20	15
9	FK Novi Pazar	12	3	4	5	11	14	13
10	Partizan Belgrade	11	3	2	6	18	20	11
11	OFK Beograd	12	2	5	5	14	22	11
12	FK Macva Sabac	12	2	4	6	9	20	10
13	Radnicki Nis	11	2	2	7	7	18	8
14	FK Zemun	12	0	3	9	6	25	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IMT Novi Belgrade	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
FK Novi Pazar	2-1 W	0-2 L
FK Radnik Surdulica	1-0 W	5-1 W
Vojvodina	1-1 D	0-1 L
Crvena Zvezda	0-1 L	1-2 L
OFK Beograd	1-1 D	2-2 D
Mladost Lucani	2-0 W	0-0 D
FK Macva Sabac	0-1 L	2-0 W
Partizan Belgrade	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IMT Novi Belgrade (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IMT Novi Belgrade

WLDLWDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-1	5	7	W
10/10	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
19/09	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
13/09	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
07/09	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
30/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
22/08	FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
16/08	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
09/08	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
02/08	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-1	5	5	W

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

DDLWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	4	10	W
11/10	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
20/09	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-1	2-1	8	7	W
17/09	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
11/09	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-0	9	5	W
04/09	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	5	7	L
29/08	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	0-1	5-1	6	6	W
23/08	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
09/08	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	2-1	2-2	4	7	D
03/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	9	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IMT Novi Belgrade vs FK Zeleznicar Pancevo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win (35%). Probabilities: IMT Novi Belgrade 34%, draw 31%, FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 35%.

How many goals are expected in IMT Novi Belgrade vs FK Zeleznicar Pancevo?

The model expects 2.04 goals (IMT Novi Belgrade 1.02 · FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1.02), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IMT Novi Belgrade vs FK Zeleznicar Pancevo?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.