Football · Serbia Super Liga · 23/10, 18:00
Prediction: Radnicki Nis vs FK Novi Pazar
Team pages: Radnicki Nis · FK Novi Pazar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Radnicki Nis1.23
FK Novi Pazar1.09
1X2
Radnicki Nis
Draw
FK Novi Pazar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Radnicki Nis
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
FK Novi Pazar
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Radnicki Nis
1–2–3
FK Novi Pazar
(6 last)
- FK Novi Pazar1-0Radnicki Nis
- Radnicki Nis2-3FK Novi Pazar
- FK Novi Pazar3-3Radnicki Nis
- Radnicki Nis2-1FK Novi Pazar
- FK Novi Pazar2-1Radnicki Nis
- FK Novi Pazar2-2Radnicki Nis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Radnicki Nis 1461 · FK Novi Pazar 1466
| Radnicki Nis | Draw | FK Novi Pazar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Novi Pazar: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Radnicki Nis | FK Novi Pazar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.6 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Radnicki Nis 1–2–3 FK Novi Pazar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Novi Pazar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Radnicki Nis |
| 10/08/25 Serbia Super Liga | Radnicki Nis | 2-3 HT 2-1 | FK Novi Pazar |
| 07/04/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Novi Pazar | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Radnicki Nis |
| 09/11/24 Serbia Super Liga | Radnicki Nis | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FK Novi Pazar |
| 24/05/24 Serbia Super Liga | FK Novi Pazar | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Radnicki Nis |
| 15/04/24 Serbia Super Liga | FK Novi Pazar | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Radnicki Nis |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena Zvezda | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 4 | 34 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | Mladost Lucani | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 17 |
| 8 | FK Cukaricki | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 9 | FK Novi Pazar | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
| 10 | Partizan Belgrade | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 11 |
| 11 | OFK Beograd | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
| 12 | FK Macva Sabac | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 10 |
| 13 | Radnicki Nis | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Zemun | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Radnicki Nis | FK Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| FK Radnik Surdulica | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Vojvodina | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Crvena Zvezda | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| OFK Beograd | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| FK Macva Sabac | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| IMT Novi Belgrade | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| FK Zemun | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| FK Cukaricki | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Novi Pazar (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Radnicki Nis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/10 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 22/08 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 16/08 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
FK Novi Pazar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/10 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 17/08 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Radnicki Nis vs FK Novi Pazar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Radnicki Nis win (39%). Probabilities: Radnicki Nis 39%, draw 29%, FK Novi Pazar 32%.
How many goals are expected in Radnicki Nis vs FK Novi Pazar?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Radnicki Nis 1.23 · FK Novi Pazar 1.09), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Radnicki Nis vs FK Novi Pazar?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.