Football · Serbia Super Liga · 23/10, 18:00

Prediction: FK Radnicki 1923 vs FK Radnik Surdulica

Team pages: FK Radnicki 1923 · FK Radnik Surdulica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

FK Radnicki 19231.65

FK Radnik Surdulica1.11

1X2

49% 27% 25%

FK Radnicki 1923 Draw FK Radnik Surdulica

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Radnicki 1923 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDDWWLL

FK Radnik Surdulica 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FK Radnicki 1923 4–2–0 FK Radnik Surdulica (6 last)

FK Radnicki 19230-0FK Radnik Surdulica
FK Radnik Surdulica2-3FK Radnicki 1923
FK Radnik Surdulica0-1FK Radnicki 1923
FK Radnicki 19231-0FK Radnik Surdulica
FK Radnicki 19231-0FK Radnik Surdulica
FK Radnik Surdulica0-0FK Radnicki 1923

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Radnicki 1923 1527 · FK Radnik Surdulica 1507

	FK Radnicki 1923	Draw	FK Radnik Surdulica
Our model	49%	27%	24%
Market	49%	27%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Radnicki 1923: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Radnicki 1923	FK Radnik Surdulica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.4	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	5.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:00 +13’	1.91	3.50	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Radnicki 1923 4–2–0 FK Radnik Surdulica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnicki 1923	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Radnik Surdulica
13/09/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnik Surdulica	2-3 HT 2-0	FK Radnicki 1923
08/03/24 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnik Surdulica	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Radnicki 1923
20/12/23 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnicki 1923	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Radnik Surdulica
05/11/22 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnicki 1923	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Radnik Surdulica
23/07/22 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnik Surdulica	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Radnicki 1923

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	12	11	1	0	32	4	34
2	Vojvodina	12	9	1	2	27	11	28
3	IMT Novi Belgrade	12	6	3	3	15	8	21
4	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	11	6	2	3	18	10	20
5	FK Radnicki 1923	11	5	2	4	17	14	17
6	FK Radnik Surdulica	12	4	5	3	17	16	17
7	Mladost Lucani	12	4	5	3	11	17	17
8	FK Cukaricki	12	4	3	5	17	20	15
9	FK Novi Pazar	12	3	4	5	11	14	13
10	Partizan Belgrade	11	3	2	6	18	20	11
11	OFK Beograd	12	2	5	5	14	22	11
12	FK Macva Sabac	12	2	4	6	9	20	10
13	Radnicki Nis	11	2	2	7	7	18	8
14	FK Zemun	12	0	3	9	6	25	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Radnicki 1923	FK Radnik Surdulica
Vojvodina	0-2 L	1-2 L
Crvena Zvezda	0-3 L	0-0 D
FK Macva Sabac	0-0 D	2-1 W
Radnicki Nis	1-1 D	3-0 W
IMT Novi Belgrade	2-1 W	0-1 L
Partizan Belgrade	1-0 W	4-4 D
FK Zemun	3-0 W	1-1 D
FK Cukaricki	0-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Radnik Surdulica (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Radnicki 1923

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-2	10	4	L
10/10	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-3	4	3	L
19/09	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	2-2	5-3	4	5	W
12/09	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	3-0	5-0	8	6	W
05/09	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
29/08	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
22/08	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-1	8	7	W
16/08	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
08/08	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	2-0	3-0	5	8	W
01/08	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-3	0-3	9	5	L

FK Radnik Surdulica

LWWLWDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	1-0	3-0	7	7	W
10/10	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
19/09	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	3-1	4-4	3	8	D
14/09	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
10/09	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
05/09	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	3-0	3-1	6	6	W
29/08	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-5	1	6	L
23/08	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	7	8	W
15/08	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
09/08	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-2	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Radnicki 1923 vs FK Radnik Surdulica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Radnicki 1923 win (49%). Probabilities: FK Radnicki 1923 49%, draw 27%, FK Radnik Surdulica 25%.

How many goals are expected in FK Radnicki 1923 vs FK Radnik Surdulica?

The model expects 2.76 goals (FK Radnicki 1923 1.65 · FK Radnik Surdulica 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Radnicki 1923 vs FK Radnik Surdulica?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.