Football · Tunisia League 2 · 19/10, 15:30

Prediction: US Ksour Essef vs AS Ariana

Team pages: AS Ariana

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
US Ksour Essef1.52
AS Ariana0.81
1X2
53% 28% 19%
US Ksour Essef Draw AS Ariana
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
US Ksour Essef 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWLLLDWW
AS Ariana 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDLWLDDDLW
Head-to-head
US Ksour Essef 1–1 AS Ariana (2 last)
  • AS Ariana1-0US Ksour Essef
  • US Ksour Essef2-0AS Ariana
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Ksour Essef 1503 · AS Ariana 1490
US Ksour EssefDrawAS Ariana
Our model53%28%19%
Market53%28%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US Ksour EssefAS Ariana
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.41.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.6 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.82 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 04.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · US Ksour Essef 1–0–1 AS Ariana

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
Tunisia League 2
AS Ariana1-0
HT 1-0
US Ksour Essef
02/11/25
Tunisia League 2
US Ksour Essef2-0
HT 2-0
AS Ariana

Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 US Ksour Essef 3210 207
2 CS Redeyef 3201 616
3 JS Kairouanaise 3201 216
4 CS Korba 3201 416
5 ES Bouchamma 3201 346
6 AS Kasserine 3201 426
7 Jendouba Sport 3201 216
8 AS Ariana 3111 324
9 Olympique Du Kef 3111 334
10 EGS Gafsa 3102 463
11 Kalaa Sport 3102 243
12 Stade Gabesien 3021 232
13 Moknine 3012 041
14 Club Olympique Medenine 3003 160

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUS Ksour EssefAS Ariana
Kalaa Sport 1-2 L 2-0 W
Moknine 1-2 L 1-1 D
EGS Gafsa 4-2 W 1-1 D
ES Bouchamma 1-4 L 0-5 L
EO Sidi Bouzid 4-2 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AS Ariana (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Ksour Essef

LWLWLLLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 JS Kairouanaise
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-0 23 W
04/10 Club Olympique Medenine
Tunisia League 2
1-0 1-0 73 W
27/09 Olympique Du Kef
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D
12/05 AS Kasserine
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
02/05 Kalaa Sport
Tunisia League 2
– 1-2 –– L
28/04 Moknine
Tunisia League 2
– 1-2 –– L
19/04 EGS Gafsa
Tunisia League 2
1-1 4-2 42 W
11/04 ES Bouchamma
Tunisia League 2
– 1-4 –– L
05/04 EO Sidi Bouzid
Tunisia League 2
2-1 4-2 –– W
29/03 AS Ariana
Tunisia League 2
0-1 0-1 24 L

AS Ariana

WDLWLDDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Kalaa Sport
Tunisia League 2
1-0 2-0 35 W
04/10 Jendouba Sport
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
27/09 Stade Gabesien
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-1 74 D
12/05 Moknine
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 –– D
02/05 EGS Gafsa
Tunisia League 2
1-0 1-1 63 D
28/04 ES Bouchamma
Tunisia League 2
– 0-5 –– L
19/04 EO Sidi Bouzid
Tunisia League 2
0-0 3-0 57 W
11/04 CS Korba
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
04/04 Jendouba Sport
Tunisia League 2
– 2-2 –– D
29/03 US Ksour Essef
Tunisia League 2
1-0 1-0 84 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Ksour Essef vs AS Ariana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a US Ksour Essef win (53%). Probabilities: US Ksour Essef 53%, draw 28%, AS Ariana 19%.

How many goals are expected in US Ksour Essef vs AS Ariana?

The model expects 2.33 goals (US Ksour Essef 1.52 · AS Ariana 0.81), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in US Ksour Essef vs AS Ariana?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.