Prediction: AS Ariana vs AS Kasserine
Team pages: AS Ariana · AS Kasserine
- AS Kasserine2-0AS Ariana
- AS Ariana2-1AS Kasserine
- AS Ariana1-0AS Kasserine
| AS Ariana | Draw | AS Kasserine | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 35% | 36% |
| Market | 30% | 32% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AS Kasserine (rating 1485 vs 1544).
- H2H favours AS Ariana: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AS Ariana | AS Kasserine | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.8 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Ariana 2–0–1 AS Kasserine
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Tunisia League 2 | AS Kasserine | 2-0 | AS Ariana |
| 28/09/25 Tunisia League 2 | AS Ariana | 2-1 HT 2-0 | AS Kasserine |
| 27/10/17 Tunisia League 2 | AS Ariana | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AS Kasserine |
Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Bouchamma | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | CS Korba | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | AS Kasserine | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | US Ksour Essef | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Jendouba Sport | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | JS Kairouanaise | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | CS Redeyef | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | EGS Gafsa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Kalaa Sport | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AS Ariana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | Olympique du Kef | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Moknine | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 | Club Olympique Medenine | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AS Ariana | AS Kasserine |
|---|---|---|
| US Ksour Essef | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Stade Gabesien | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CS Korba | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: AS Kasserine (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AS Ariana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | US Ksour Essef Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 11/10 | Kalaa Sport Tunisia League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Stade Gabesien Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 12/05 | Moknine Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | EGS Gafsa Tunisia League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 28/04 | ES Bouchamma Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | EO Sidi Bouzid Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 11/04 | CS Korba Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
AS Kasserine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Club Olympique Medenine Tunisia League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Olympique Du Kef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | CS Hammam Lif Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | US Ksour Essef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | CS Redeyef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/04 | Stade Gabesien Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | AS Djelma Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | CS Korba Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AS Ariana vs AS Kasserine?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AS Kasserine win (37%). Probabilities: AS Ariana 29%, draw 34%, AS Kasserine 37%.
How many goals are expected in AS Ariana vs AS Kasserine?
The model expects 1.79 goals (AS Ariana 0.82 · AS Kasserine 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AS Ariana vs AS Kasserine?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.