Prediction: ES Bouchamma vs Kalaa Sport
Team pages: ES Bouchamma · Kalaa Sport
- ES Bouchamma1-0Kalaa Sport
- Kalaa Sport1-1ES Bouchamma
| ES Bouchamma | Draw | Kalaa Sport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 30% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ES Bouchamma (rating 1538 vs 1479).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ES Bouchamma | Kalaa Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 100/0/0% | 17/33/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6 | 3.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ES Bouchamma 1–1–0 Kalaa Sport
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Tunisia League 2 | ES Bouchamma | 1-0 | Kalaa Sport |
| 05/10/25 Tunisia League 2 | Kalaa Sport | 1-1 | ES Bouchamma |
Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Korba | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | AS Kasserine | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | US Ksour Essef | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | ES Bouchamma | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | JS Kairouanaise | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | CS Redeyef | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | EGS Gafsa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Kalaa Sport | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | AS Ariana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | Olympique du Kef | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Moknine | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 | Club Olympique Medenine | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ES Bouchamma | Kalaa Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Jendouba Sport | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Stade Gabesien | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| CS Redeyef | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| AS Ariana | 5-0 W | 0-2 L |
| US Ksour Essef | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: ES Bouchamma (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ES Bouchamma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Stade Gabesien Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | CS Redeyef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | CS Korba Tunisia League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | CS Korba Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | EO Sidi Bouzid Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | AS Ariana Tunisia League 2 |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | US Ksour Essef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | CS Redeyef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Kalaa Sport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Moknine Tunisia League 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | AS Ariana Tunisia League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Club Olympique Medenine Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | US Ksour Essef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | CS Redeyef Tunisia League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 7 | D |
| 22/04 | Stade Gabesien Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | AS Djelma Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ES Bouchamma vs Kalaa Sport?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ES Bouchamma win (44%). Probabilities: ES Bouchamma 44%, draw 29%, Kalaa Sport 27%.
How many goals are expected in ES Bouchamma vs Kalaa Sport?
The model expects 2.52 goals (ES Bouchamma 1.43 · Kalaa Sport 1.09), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in ES Bouchamma vs Kalaa Sport?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.