Football · Tunisia League 2 · 27/10, 14:30

Prediction: Moknine vs US Ksour Essef

Team pages: Moknine · US Ksour Essef

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Moknine0.98
US Ksour Essef1.54
1X2
23% 28% 49%
Moknine Draw US Ksour Essef
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Moknine 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDWWLDLDLL
US Ksour Essef 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLLLDWWD
Head-to-head
Moknine 1–1 US Ksour Essef (2 last)
  • Moknine2-1US Ksour Essef
  • US Ksour Essef4-2Moknine
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moknine 1456 · US Ksour Essef 1511
MoknineDrawUS Ksour Essef
Our model23%28%49%
Market22%29%49%
Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours US Ksour Essef (rating 1456 vs 1511).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MoknineUS Ksour Essef
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.41.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.50.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.82.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 04.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Moknine 1–0–1 US Ksour Essef

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/04/26
Tunisia League 2
Moknine2-1US Ksour Essef
30/11/25
Tunisia League 2
US Ksour Essef4-2
HT 2-1
Moknine

Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ES Bouchamma 5311 5510
2 CS Korba 4301 629
3 AS Kasserine 4301 529
4 US Ksour Essef 4220 208
5 Jendouba Sport 4211 327
6 JS Kairouanaise 4202 226
7 CS Redeyef 4202 626
8 EGS Gafsa 4202 766
9 Kalaa Sport 5203 556
10 AS Ariana 4121 325
11 Stade Gabesien 4121 335
12 Olympique du Kef 4112 454
13 Moknine 4013 071
14 Club Olympique Medenine 4004 190

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMoknineUS Ksour Essef
Kalaa Sport 0-3 L 1-2 L
AS Ariana 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: US Ksour Essef (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moknine

DDWWLDLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/10 Kalaa Sport
Tunisia League 2
0-3 0-3 43 L
11/10 Jendouba Sport
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
04/10 Stade Gabesien
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 64 D
27/09 CS Redeyef
Tunisia League 2
0-2 0-3 47 L
12/05 AS Ariana
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 –– D
02/05 Jendouba Sport
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
28/04 US Ksour Essef
Tunisia League 2
– 2-1 –– W
19/04 CS Redeyef
Tunisia League 2
– 3-2 –– W
04/04 AS Djelma
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 –– D
28/03 Progres Sakiet Eddaier
Tunisia League 2
1-1 1-1 57 D

US Ksour Essef

WLWLLLDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/10 AS Ariana
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 310 D
11/10 JS Kairouanaise
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-0 23 W
04/10 Club Olympique Medenine
Tunisia League 2
1-0 1-0 73 W
27/09 Olympique Du Kef
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D
12/05 AS Kasserine
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
02/05 Kalaa Sport
Tunisia League 2
– 1-2 –– L
28/04 Moknine
Tunisia League 2
– 1-2 –– L
19/04 EGS Gafsa
Tunisia League 2
1-1 4-2 42 W
11/04 ES Bouchamma
Tunisia League 2
– 1-4 –– L
05/04 EO Sidi Bouzid
Tunisia League 2
2-1 4-2 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moknine vs US Ksour Essef?

According to our model, the most likely result is an US Ksour Essef win (49%). Probabilities: Moknine 23%, draw 28%, US Ksour Essef 49%.

How many goals are expected in Moknine vs US Ksour Essef?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Moknine 0.98 · US Ksour Essef 1.54), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Moknine vs US Ksour Essef?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.