Prediction: Moknine vs US Ksour Essef
Team pages: Moknine · US Ksour Essef
- Moknine2-1US Ksour Essef
- US Ksour Essef4-2Moknine
| Moknine | Draw | US Ksour Essef | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 28% | 49% |
| Market | 22% | 29% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours US Ksour Essef (rating 1456 vs 1511).
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moknine | US Ksour Essef | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moknine 1–0–1 US Ksour Essef
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/26 Tunisia League 2 | Moknine | 2-1 | US Ksour Essef |
| 30/11/25 Tunisia League 2 | US Ksour Essef | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Moknine |
Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Bouchamma | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | CS Korba | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | AS Kasserine | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | US Ksour Essef | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Jendouba Sport | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | JS Kairouanaise | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | CS Redeyef | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | EGS Gafsa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Kalaa Sport | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AS Ariana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | Olympique du Kef | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Moknine | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 | Club Olympique Medenine | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moknine | US Ksour Essef |
|---|---|---|
| Kalaa Sport | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| AS Ariana | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: US Ksour Essef (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moknine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Kalaa Sport Tunisia League 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Stade Gabesien Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | CS Redeyef Tunisia League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 12/05 | AS Ariana Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/04 | US Ksour Essef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | CS Redeyef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | AS Djelma Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier Tunisia League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
US Ksour Essef
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | AS Ariana Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 11/10 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Club Olympique Medenine Tunisia League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Olympique Du Kef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/05 | AS Kasserine Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Kalaa Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/04 | Moknine Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | EGS Gafsa Tunisia League 2 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | ES Bouchamma Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | EO Sidi Bouzid Tunisia League 2 |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moknine vs US Ksour Essef?
According to our model, the most likely result is an US Ksour Essef win (49%). Probabilities: Moknine 23%, draw 28%, US Ksour Essef 49%.
How many goals are expected in Moknine vs US Ksour Essef?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Moknine 0.98 · US Ksour Essef 1.54), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Moknine vs US Ksour Essef?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

