Football · Tunisia League 2 · 27/10, 14:30

Prediction: Stade Gabesien vs CS Korba

Team pages: Stade Gabesien · CS Korba

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.85Total
Stade Gabesien1.07
CS Korba0.77
1X2
42% 33% 26%
Stade Gabesien Draw CS Korba
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Stade Gabesien 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WDDDWLDDLW
CS Korba 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWLWWDLWWW
Head-to-head
Stade Gabesien 1–3–0 CS Korba (4 last)
  • CS Korba1-1Stade Gabesien
  • Stade Gabesien4-0CS Korba
  • Stade Gabesien0-0CS Korba
  • CS Korba0-0Stade Gabesien
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stade Gabesien 1515 · CS Korba 1546
Stade GabesienDrawCS Korba
Our model41%34%25%
Market43%31%26%
Estimated total (ours) 1.85 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Stade GabesienCS Korba
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 0.71.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.31 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/83/17%67/0/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.82 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.23 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stade Gabesien 1–3–0 CS Korba

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/01/26
Tunisia League 2
CS Korba1-1
HT 1-0
Stade Gabesien
21/09/25
Tunisia League 2
Stade Gabesien4-0
HT 2-0
CS Korba
26/02/22
Tunisia League 2
Stade Gabesien0-0CS Korba
28/11/21
Tunisia League 2
CS Korba0-0
HT 0-0
Stade Gabesien

Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ES Bouchamma 5311 5510
2 CS Korba 4301 629
3 AS Kasserine 4301 529
4 US Ksour Essef 4220 208
5 Jendouba Sport 4211 327
6 JS Kairouanaise 4202 226
7 CS Redeyef 4202 626
8 EGS Gafsa 4202 766
9 Kalaa Sport 5203 556
10 AS Ariana 4121 325
11 Stade Gabesien 4121 335
12 Olympique du Kef 4112 454
13 Moknine 4013 071
14 Club Olympique Medenine 4004 190

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStade GabesienCS Korba
CS Redeyef 1-0 W 1-0 W
ES Bouchamma 1-2 L 0-1 L
AS Ariana 1-1 D 1-0 W
AS Djelma 0-0 D 1-0 W
Progres Sakiet Eddaier 0-0 D 0-4 L
AS Kasserine 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 4 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stade Gabesien

WDDDWLDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/10 CS Redeyef
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-0 34 W
11/10 ES Bouchamma
Tunisia League 2
– 1-2 –– L
04/10 Moknine
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 64 D
27/09 AS Ariana
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-1 14 D
30/05 CS Hammam Lif
Tunisia League 2
0-2 0-3 56 L
25/05 Tataouine
Tunisia League 2
0-0 2-0 43 W
12/05 AS Djelma
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D
02/05 Progres Sakiet Eddaier
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 47 D
28/04 AS Kasserine
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 –– D
22/04 Kalaa Sport
Tunisia League 2
– 2-0 –– W

CS Korba

LWLWWDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/10 Olympique du Kef
Tunisia League 2
1-0 2-1 64 W
10/10 CS Redeyef
Tunisia League 2
– 1-0 –– W
04/10 EGS Gafsa
Tunisia League 2
2-0 3-0 84 W
27/09 ES Bouchamma
Tunisia League 2
0-1 0-1 13 L
12/05 ES Bouchamma
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 –– D
02/05 AS Djelma
Tunisia League 2
– 1-0 –– W
28/04 EO Sidi Bouzid
Tunisia League 2
– 5-1 –– W
22/04 Progres Sakiet Eddaier
Tunisia League 2
– 0-4 –– L
11/04 AS Ariana
Tunisia League 2
– 1-0 –– W
04/04 AS Kasserine
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stade Gabesien vs CS Korba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stade Gabesien win (42%). Probabilities: Stade Gabesien 42%, draw 33%, CS Korba 26%.

How many goals are expected in Stade Gabesien vs CS Korba?

The model expects 1.85 goals (Stade Gabesien 1.07 · CS Korba 0.77), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stade Gabesien vs CS Korba?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.