Football · Brazil Serie C · 17/10, 22:00

Prediction: Maringa FC vs Ferroviaria SP

Team pages: Maringa FC · Ferroviaria SP

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Maringa FC1.39
Ferroviaria SP1.03
1X2
44% 30% 26%
Maringa FC Draw Ferroviaria SP
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Maringa FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LDWWWLWDDW
Ferroviaria SP 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWLWDWWDLW
Head-to-head
Maringa FC 3–1–1 Ferroviaria SP (5 last)
  • Maringa FC3-2Ferroviaria SP
  • Ferroviaria SP1-2Maringa FC
  • Maringa FC0-0Ferroviaria SP
  • Ferroviaria SP0-1Maringa FC
  • Maringa FC0-2Ferroviaria SP
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maringa FC 1541 · Ferroviaria SP 1526
Maringa FCDrawFerroviaria SP
Our model44%30%27%
Market44%30%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Maringa FC: 3-1-1.
  • High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Maringa FCFerroviaria SP
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.71.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.20.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/80/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 6.63.2 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.26.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Maringa FC 3–1–1 Ferroviaria SP

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
Brazil Serie C
Maringa FC3-2
HT 0-1
Ferroviaria SP
15/07/23
Brazil Serie D
Ferroviaria SP1-2
HT 0-1
Maringa FC
14/05/23
Brazil Serie D
Maringa FC0-0
HT 0-0
Ferroviaria SP
25/05/19
Brazil Serie D
Ferroviaria SP0-1
HT 0-1
Maringa FC
18/05/19
Brazil Serie D
Maringa FC0-2
HT 0-1
Ferroviaria SP

Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ferroviaria SP 6321 10711
2 Inter de Limeira 6141 11117
3 Brusque 6141 10107
4 Paysandu 6123 585

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMaringa FCFerroviaria SP
Paysandu 1-0 W 0-1 L
AD Confianca 1-1 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maringa FC

LDWWWLWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 102 W
03/10 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 24 D
26/09 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 57 D
19/09 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 106 W
13/09 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 95 L
06/09 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 61 W
29/08 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 43 W
23/08 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-1 65 W
16/08 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 76 D
09/08 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-2 0-3 –– L

Ferroviaria SP

DWLWDWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 24 W
04/10 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 118 L
27/09 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 119 D
20/09 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
1-1 3-2 1011 W
13/09 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 66 W
05/09 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
1-1 3-3 65 D
29/08 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 103 W
23/08 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 35 L
18/08 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
2-0 4-0 79 W
08/08 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-2 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maringa FC vs Ferroviaria SP?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maringa FC win (44%). Probabilities: Maringa FC 44%, draw 30%, Ferroviaria SP 26%.

How many goals are expected in Maringa FC vs Ferroviaria SP?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Maringa FC 1.39 · Ferroviaria SP 1.03), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Maringa FC vs Ferroviaria SP?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.