Football · Brazil Serie C · 24/10, 22:00

Prediction: Ferroviaria SP vs Maringa FC

Team pages: Ferroviaria SP · Maringa FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Ferroviaria SP1.39
Maringa FC0.92
1X2
46% 31% 23%
Ferroviaria SP Draw Maringa FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Ferroviaria SP 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWDLWD
Maringa FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWLWDDWD
Head-to-head
Ferroviaria SP 1–2–3 Maringa FC (6 last)
  • Maringa FC1-1Ferroviaria SP
  • Maringa FC3-2Ferroviaria SP
  • Ferroviaria SP1-2Maringa FC
  • Maringa FC0-0Ferroviaria SP
  • Ferroviaria SP0-1Maringa FC
  • Maringa FC0-2Ferroviaria SP
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ferroviaria SP 1527 · Maringa FC 1553
Ferroviaria SPDrawMaringa FC
Our model47%30%24%
Market46%31%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Maringa FC: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 13 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ferroviaria SPMaringa FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.91.1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.1 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%10/90/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.83.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.4 / 0.14.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferroviaria SP 1–2–3 Maringa FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/10/26
Brazil Serie C
Maringa FC1-1
HT 0-0
Ferroviaria SP
05/04/26
Brazil Serie C
Maringa FC3-2
HT 0-1
Ferroviaria SP
15/07/23
Brazil Serie D
Ferroviaria SP1-2
HT 0-1
Maringa FC
14/05/23
Brazil Serie D
Maringa FC0-0
HT 0-0
Ferroviaria SP
25/05/19
Brazil Serie D
Ferroviaria SP0-1
HT 0-1
Maringa FC
18/05/19
Brazil Serie D
Maringa FC0-2
HT 0-1
Ferroviaria SP

Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ferroviaria SP 6321 10711
2 Inter de Limeira 6141 11117
3 Brusque 6141 10107
4 Paysandu 6123 585

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFerroviaria SPMaringa FC
Paysandu 0-1 L 1-0 W
AD Confianca 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferroviaria SP

WLWDWWDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 25 D
11/10 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 24 W
04/10 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 118 L
27/09 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 119 D
20/09 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
1-1 3-2 1011 W
13/09 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 66 W
05/09 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
1-1 3-3 65 D
29/08 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 103 W
23/08 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 35 L
18/08 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
2-0 4-0 79 W

Maringa FC

DWWWLWDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 35 D
10/10 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 102 W
03/10 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 24 D
26/09 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 57 D
19/09 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 106 W
13/09 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 95 L
06/09 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 61 W
29/08 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 43 W
23/08 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-1 65 W
16/08 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 76 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ferroviaria SP vs Maringa FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferroviaria SP win (46%). Probabilities: Ferroviaria SP 46%, draw 31%, Maringa FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Ferroviaria SP vs Maringa FC?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Ferroviaria SP 1.39 · Maringa FC 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ferroviaria SP vs Maringa FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.