Prediction: Brusque vs Paysandu
Team pages: Brusque · Paysandu
- Paysandu1-2Brusque
- Paysandu1-1Brusque
- Paysandu1-0Brusque
- Brusque1-0Paysandu
- Paysandu0-2Brusque
| Brusque | Draw | Paysandu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brusque (rating 1513 vs 1464).
- H2H favours Brusque: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 13.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brusque | Paysandu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.6 | 3.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.9 / 0.1 | 6.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brusque 3–1–1 Paysandu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/26 Brazil Serie C | Paysandu | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Brusque |
| 12/04/26 Brazil Serie C | Paysandu | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Brusque |
| 12/11/24 Brazil Serie B | Paysandu | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Brusque |
| 25/07/24 Brazil Serie B | Brusque | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Paysandu |
| 02/07/23 Brazil Serie C | Paysandu | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Brusque |
Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviaria SP | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 2 | Inter de Limeira | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
| 3 | Brusque | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 4 | Paysandu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brusque | Paysandu |
|---|---|---|
| Inter de Limeira | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Ferroviaria SP | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Amazonas FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Ituano | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Brusque (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brusque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 27/09 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 20/09 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 13/09 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Paysandu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 27/09 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 07/09 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 29/08 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 18/08 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 11/08 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 27/07 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brusque vs Paysandu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brusque win (40%). Probabilities: Brusque 40%, draw 28%, Paysandu 31%.
How many goals are expected in Brusque vs Paysandu?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Brusque 1.4 · Paysandu 1.22), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Brusque vs Paysandu?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.