Football · Brazil Serie C · 10/10, 22:00

Prediction: Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz FC

Team pages: Botafogo PB · Santa Cruz FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Botafogo PB1.2
Santa Cruz FC0.87
1X2
43% 30% 26%
Botafogo PB Draw Santa Cruz FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Botafogo PB 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDDWWLLLDD
Santa Cruz FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LDLWDWWWDD
Head-to-head
Botafogo PB 2–2–2 Santa Cruz FC (6 last)
  • Santa Cruz FC1-0Botafogo PB
  • Botafogo PB2-2Santa Cruz FC
  • Santa Cruz FC2-1Botafogo PB
  • Santa Cruz FC1-1Botafogo PB
  • Botafogo PB1-0Santa Cruz FC
  • Santa Cruz FC0-1Botafogo PB
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Botafogo PB 1502 · Santa Cruz FC 1528
Botafogo PBDrawSanta Cruz FC
Our model42%32%25%
Market44%29%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Botafogo PBSanta Cruz FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.91 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.40.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)4.1 / 7.13.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.14.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Botafogo PB 2–2–2 Santa Cruz FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/09/26
Brazil Serie C
Santa Cruz FC1-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo PB
08/08/26
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB2-2
HT 1-0
Santa Cruz FC
08/01/23
Brazil Copa Nordeste
Santa Cruz FC2-1
HT 1-1
Botafogo PB
25/09/21
Brazil Serie C
Santa Cruz FC1-1
HT 0-1
Botafogo PB
25/07/21
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB1-0
HT 0-0
Santa Cruz FC
10/04/21
Brazil Copa Nordeste
Santa Cruz FC0-1
HT 0-0
Botafogo PB

Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Santa Cruz FC 5320 5211
2 Maringa FC 5221 428
3 Floresta EC 5122 345
4 Botafogo PB 5023 152

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBotafogo PBSanta Cruz FC
Floresta EC 1-1 D 1-1 D
Maringa FC 0-0 D 1-1 D
Caxias RS 2-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Santa Cruz FC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Botafogo PB

WDDWWLLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 82 D
26/09 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 107 D
19/09 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-2 56 L
12/09 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 147 L
06/09 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 144 L
29/08 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 26 W
22/08 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-1 3-1 36 W
15/08 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 43 D
08/08 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-2 –– D
26/07 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-1 45 W

Santa Cruz FC

LDLWDWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 74 D
26/09 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 38 D
20/09 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 60 W
13/09 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 55 W
06/09 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 54 W
29/08 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 44 D
23/08 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 34 W
16/08 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 67 L
08/08 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 –– D
25/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 109 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Botafogo PB win (43%). Probabilities: Botafogo PB 43%, draw 30%, Santa Cruz FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz FC?

The model expects 2.07 goals (Botafogo PB 1.2 · Santa Cruz FC 0.87), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.