Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 01/11, 20:00

Prediction: The Strongest vs GV San Jose

Team pages: The Strongest · GV San Jose

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

The Strongest2.62

GV San Jose0.91

1X2

73% 16% 11%

The Strongest Draw GV San Jose

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

The Strongest 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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GV San Jose 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

The Strongest 4–1–1 GV San Jose (6 last)

GV San Jose0-0The Strongest
GV San Jose3-2The Strongest
The Strongest1-0GV San Jose
The Strongest2-1GV San Jose
GV San Jose0-4The Strongest
The Strongest3-2GV San Jose

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · The Strongest 1539 · GV San Jose 1434

	The Strongest	Draw	GV San Jose
Our model	73%	17%	10%
Market	74%	15%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1539 vs 1434).
H2H favours The Strongest: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	The Strongest	GV San Jose
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.4	1.5 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.8	2.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	5.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.25

X6.00

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.82

2 (+1.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:50 +4’	1.25	6.00	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · The Strongest 4–1–1 GV San Jose

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	GV San Jose	0-0 HT 0-0	The Strongest
24/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	GV San Jose	3-2 HT 0-1	The Strongest
07/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	The Strongest	1-0 HT 0-0	GV San Jose
23/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division	The Strongest	2-1 HT 1-1	GV San Jose
13/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division	GV San Jose	0-4 HT 0-1	The Strongest
30/10/24 Bolivia Clausura	The Strongest	3-2 HT 2-1	GV San Jose

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	23	17	3	3	58	23	54
2	Always Ready	23	15	6	2	55	16	51
3	The Strongest	23	13	6	4	42	26	45
4	Real Potosi	23	10	8	5	30	16	38
5	Oriente Petrolero	23	11	4	8	40	29	37
6	Club Aurora	23	8	10	5	34	30	34
7	Nacional Potosi	23	9	4	10	35	31	31
8	Guabira	23	8	6	9	34	47	30
9	Independiente Petrolero	23	8	5	10	31	39	29
10	Blooming	23	6	10	7	31	25	28
11	Real Oruro	23	8	3	12	37	56	27
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	23	7	3	13	24	43	24
13	Universitario De Vinto	23	6	3	14	30	45	21
14	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	23	6	2	15	33	51	20
15	Real Tomayapo	23	5	5	13	16	40	20
16	GV San Jose	23	4	8	11	27	40	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	The Strongest	GV San Jose
Oriente Petrolero	1-2 L	3-3 D
Always Ready	2-1 W	2-3 L
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	2-1 W	2-2 D
Real Tomayapo	3-1 W	0-1 L
Guabira	1-3 L	4-1 W
Independiente Petrolero	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: The Strongest (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

The Strongest

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	7	7	L
18/10	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
11/10	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
15/09	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	4	9	W
12/09	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	8	2	W
07/09	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-1	10	4	W
26/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
22/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	2-2	4-3	3	5	W
15/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
08/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	3	7	L

GV San Jose

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	10	11	W
17/10	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
12/10	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	3-1	4-1	5	7	W
18/09	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-3	2-4	0	5	L
12/09	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
05/09	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-3	0-3	5	4	L
25/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-3	2	9	D
22/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	2-2	6	6	D
17/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
09/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-3	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in The Strongest vs GV San Jose?

According to our model, the most likely result is a The Strongest win (73%). Probabilities: The Strongest 73%, draw 16%, GV San Jose 11%.

How many goals are expected in The Strongest vs GV San Jose?

The model expects 3.53 goals (The Strongest 2.62 · GV San Jose 0.91), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in The Strongest vs GV San Jose?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.