Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 02/11, 00:30

Prediction: Universitario De Vinto vs Always Ready

Team pages: Universitario De Vinto · Always Ready

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

Universitario De Vinto1.42

Always Ready2.37

1X2

21% 22% 57%

Universitario De Vinto Draw Always Ready

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Universitario De Vinto 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWDLWL

Always Ready 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Universitario De Vinto 2–4 Always Ready (6 last)

Always Ready4-0Universitario De Vinto
Always Ready5-1Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto0-7Always Ready
Universitario De Vinto1-2Always Ready
Always Ready1-2Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto2-1Always Ready

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universitario De Vinto 1452 · Always Ready 1535

	Universitario De Vinto	Draw	Always Ready
Our model	21%	21%	58%
Market	20%	22%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Always Ready (rating 1452 vs 1535).
H2H favours Always Ready: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Universitario De Vinto	Always Ready
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2	2.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	1.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.5	2.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.10

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.02

2 (-0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:33 +23’	4.50	4.10	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Universitario De Vinto 2–0–4 Always Ready

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Always Ready	4-0 HT 0-0	Universitario De Vinto
18/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Always Ready	5-1 HT 2-0	Universitario De Vinto
27/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Universitario De Vinto	0-7 HT 0-4	Always Ready
24/11/24 Bolivia Clausura	Universitario De Vinto	1-2 HT 1-1	Always Ready
29/07/24 Bolivia Clausura	Always Ready	1-2 HT 1-1	Universitario De Vinto
07/04/24 Bolivia Apertura	Universitario De Vinto	2-1 HT 0-1	Always Ready

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	23	17	3	3	58	23	54
2	Always Ready	23	15	6	2	55	16	51
3	The Strongest	23	13	6	4	42	26	45
4	Real Potosi	23	10	8	5	30	16	38
5	Oriente Petrolero	23	11	4	8	40	29	37
6	Club Aurora	23	8	10	5	34	30	34
7	Nacional Potosi	23	9	4	10	35	31	31
8	Guabira	23	8	6	9	34	47	30
9	Independiente Petrolero	23	8	5	10	31	39	29
10	Blooming	23	6	10	7	31	25	28
11	Real Oruro	23	8	3	12	37	56	27
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	23	7	3	13	24	43	24
13	Universitario De Vinto	23	6	3	14	30	45	21
14	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	23	6	2	15	33	51	20
15	Real Tomayapo	23	5	5	13	16	40	20
16	GV San Jose	23	4	8	11	27	40	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Universitario De Vinto	Always Ready
Real Oruro	1-3 L	5-1 W
Independiente Petrolero	3-1 W	2-0 W
Nacional Potosi	2-0 W	4-0 W
The Strongest	3-4 L	1-2 L
Real Tomayapo	0-1 L	1-1 D
Oriente Petrolero	0-5 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Always Ready (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universitario De Vinto

LLLWLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	2	7	L
17/10	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	2-1	1	7	W
10/10	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	1-3	20	7	L
17/09	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	9	D
13/09	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-1	7	6	W
04/09	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
22/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	2-2	3-4	5	5	L
14/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
10/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-5	1	3	L

Always Ready

WDDDWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	5-1	14	8	W
18/10	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-2	5	6	L
12/10	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
17/09	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-0	5	4	W
13/09	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	5-0	6-0	4	1	W
06/09	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
27/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	2-2	0	7	D
24/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	0	D
16/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
09/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-2	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universitario De Vinto vs Always Ready?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Always Ready win (57%). Probabilities: Universitario De Vinto 21%, draw 22%, Always Ready 57%.

How many goals are expected in Universitario De Vinto vs Always Ready?

The model expects 3.78 goals (Universitario De Vinto 1.42 · Always Ready 2.37), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Universitario De Vinto vs Always Ready?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.