Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 31/10, 20:00

Prediction: Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosi

Team pages: Real Oruro · Nacional Potosi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Real Oruro1.57

Nacional Potosi1.73

1X2

34% 25% 41%

Real Oruro Draw Nacional Potosi

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Oruro 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLLWWL

Nacional Potosi 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLDLW

Head-to-head

Real Oruro 2–1–3 Nacional Potosi (6 last)

Nacional Potosi2-0Real Oruro
Real Oruro0-2Nacional Potosi
Nacional Potosi1-4Real Oruro
Real Oruro1-2Nacional Potosi
Nacional Potosi0-0Real Oruro
Real Oruro1-0Nacional Potosi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Oruro 1478 · Nacional Potosi 1542

	Real Oruro	Draw	Nacional Potosi
Our model	34%	25%	41%
Market	34%	24%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nacional Potosi (rating 1478 vs 1542).
H2H favours Nacional Potosi: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Oruro	Nacional Potosi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.2	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.1	3.5 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.80

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:35 +7’	2.70	3.80	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Oruro 2–1–3 Nacional Potosi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/10/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Nacional Potosi	2-0 HT 1-0	Real Oruro
09/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Real Oruro	0-2 HT 0-0	Nacional Potosi
21/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Nacional Potosi	1-4 HT 0-2	Real Oruro
11/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Oruro	1-2 HT 1-2	Nacional Potosi
27/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Nacional Potosi	0-0 HT 0-0	Real Oruro
11/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Real Oruro	1-0 HT 0-0	Nacional Potosi

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	23	17	3	3	58	23	54
2	Always Ready	23	15	6	2	55	16	51
3	The Strongest	23	13	6	4	42	26	45
4	Real Potosi	23	10	8	5	30	16	38
5	Oriente Petrolero	23	11	4	8	40	29	37
6	Club Aurora	23	8	10	5	34	30	34
7	Nacional Potosi	23	9	4	10	35	31	31
8	Guabira	23	8	6	9	34	47	30
9	Independiente Petrolero	23	8	5	10	31	39	29
10	Blooming	23	6	10	7	31	25	28
11	Real Oruro	23	8	3	12	37	56	27
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	23	7	3	13	24	43	24
13	Universitario De Vinto	23	6	3	14	30	45	21
14	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	23	6	2	15	33	51	20
15	Real Tomayapo	23	5	5	13	16	40	20
16	GV San Jose	23	4	8	11	27	40	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Oruro	Nacional Potosi
Always Ready	1-5 L	0-4 L
Club Aurora	1-0 W	2-2 D
Universitario De Vinto	3-1 W	0-2 L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2-0 W	1-2 L
Blooming	1-1 D	2-1 W
Bolivar	2-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Real Oruro (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Oruro

WLLDWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-5	1	8	L
17/10	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
10/10	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-1	5	7	W
15/09	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
12/09	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-5	3	2	L
04/09	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
27/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
23/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	2-4	3	5	L
15/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	2-3	2-3	6	4	L
08/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	2	W

Nacional Potosi

LWWLWWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	3-0	10	5	W
18/10	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
11/10	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
17/09	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-4	8	4	L
12/09	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
07/09	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
26/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
23/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
16/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
08/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nacional Potosi win (41%). Probabilities: Real Oruro 34%, draw 25%, Nacional Potosi 41%.

How many goals are expected in Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosi?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Real Oruro 1.57 · Nacional Potosi 1.73), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosi?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.