Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 01/11, 22:15
Prediction: Guabira vs Bolivar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.52Total
Guabira1.47
Bolivar2.04
1X2
Guabira
Draw
Bolivar
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Guabira
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Bolivar
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guabira
0–6
Bolivar
(6 last)
- Bolivar4-0Guabira
- Bolivar4-0Guabira
- Guabira2-4Bolivar
- Bolivar3-2Guabira
- Guabira0-3Bolivar
- Bolivar3-1Guabira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guabira 1479 · Bolivar 1637
| Guabira | Draw | Bolivar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| Market | 27% | 23% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolivar (rating 1479 vs 1637).
- H2H favours Bolivar: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guabira | Bolivar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.1 | 3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guabira 0–0–6 Bolivar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Bolivar | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Guabira |
| 13/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Bolivar | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Guabira |
| 20/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Guabira | 2-4 HT 1-0 | Bolivar |
| 21/12/24 Bolivia Clausura | Bolivar | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Guabira |
| 22/09/24 Bolivia Clausura | Guabira | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Bolivar |
| 08/07/23 Bolivia Apertura | Bolivar | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Guabira |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 58 | 23 | 54 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 55 | 16 | 51 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 45 |
| 4 | Real Potosi | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 29 | 37 |
| 6 | Club Aurora | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 34 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 31 |
| 8 | Guabira | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 47 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Petrolero | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 39 | 29 |
| 10 | Blooming | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 28 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 56 | 27 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 43 | 24 |
| 13 | Universitario De Vinto | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 45 | 21 |
| 14 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 51 | 20 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 40 | 20 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 40 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guabira | Bolivar |
|---|---|---|
| Nacional Potosi | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| GV San Jose | 1-4 L | 4-2 W |
| Club Aurora | 3-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Independiente Petrolero | 1-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Blooming | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Bolivar (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guabira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/10 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 12/10 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/09 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-5 | 0-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 28/08 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 15/08 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Bolivar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 18/10 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 18/09 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
3-0 | 4-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guabira vs Bolivar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bolivar win (50%). Probabilities: Guabira 27%, draw 23%, Bolivar 50%.
How many goals are expected in Guabira vs Bolivar?
The model expects 3.52 goals (Guabira 1.47 · Bolivar 2.04), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Guabira vs Bolivar?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.