Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 31/10, 01:00

Prediction: Oriente Petrolero vs Club Aurora

Team pages: Oriente Petrolero · Club Aurora

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Oriente Petrolero2.01

Club Aurora1.24

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Oriente Petrolero Draw Club Aurora

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Oriente Petrolero 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLWWDW

Club Aurora 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDWWLDLW

Head-to-head

Oriente Petrolero 3–1–2 Club Aurora (6 last)

Club Aurora2-2Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero3-0Club Aurora
Club Aurora5-1Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero5-0Club Aurora
Club Aurora3-1Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero1-0Club Aurora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oriente Petrolero 1553 · Club Aurora 1508

	Oriente Petrolero	Draw	Club Aurora
Our model	54%	23%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oriente Petrolero (rating 1553 vs 1508).
H2H favours Oriente Petrolero: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oriente Petrolero	Club Aurora
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	3.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.5	5.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.90

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:01 +1’	1.70	3.90	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oriente Petrolero 3–1–2 Club Aurora

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Club Aurora	2-2 HT 1-1	Oriente Petrolero
04/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Oriente Petrolero	3-0 HT 0-0	Club Aurora
30/03/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Club Aurora	5-1 HT 3-1	Oriente Petrolero
25/09/24 Bolivia Clausura	Oriente Petrolero	5-0 HT 3-0	Club Aurora
12/05/24 Bolivia Clausura	Club Aurora	3-1 HT 3-1	Oriente Petrolero
13/11/23 Bolivia Clausura	Oriente Petrolero	1-0 HT 1-0	Club Aurora

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	23	17	3	3	58	23	54
2	Always Ready	23	15	6	2	55	16	51
3	The Strongest	23	13	6	4	42	26	45
4	Real Potosi	23	10	8	5	30	16	38
5	Oriente Petrolero	23	11	4	8	40	29	37
6	Club Aurora	23	8	10	5	34	30	34
7	Nacional Potosi	23	9	4	10	35	31	31
8	Guabira	23	8	6	9	34	47	30
9	Independiente Petrolero	23	8	5	10	31	39	29
10	Blooming	23	6	10	7	31	25	28
11	Real Oruro	23	8	3	12	37	56	27
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	23	7	3	13	24	43	24
13	Universitario De Vinto	23	6	3	14	30	45	21
14	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	23	6	2	15	33	51	20
15	Real Tomayapo	23	5	5	13	16	40	20
16	GV San Jose	23	4	8	11	27	40	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oriente Petrolero	Club Aurora
Guabira	1-1 D	1-3 L
Real Tomayapo	2-0 W	1-0 W
Real Potosi	1-2 L	0-0 D
Always Ready	1-2 L	2-2 D
GV San Jose	3-3 D	3-0 W
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	4-0 W	2-0 W
Real Oruro	3-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Oriente Petrolero (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oriente Petrolero

WWWDLLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	1	7	W
19/10	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
11/10	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
18/09	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
12/09	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	1	9	L
06/09	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	10	6	L
25/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-3	4	9	D
22/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-0	3	5	W
15/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-2	3-2	7	4	W
10/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	6	3	W

Club Aurora

LLDDWWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
17/10	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
11/10	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-2	12	5	D
16/09	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	1-3	9	5	L
12/09	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
05/09	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	3-0	3-0	5	4	W
27/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-2	3	7	D
22/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	9	9	L
09/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-4	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oriente Petrolero vs Club Aurora?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oriente Petrolero win (54%). Probabilities: Oriente Petrolero 54%, draw 24%, Club Aurora 22%.

How many goals are expected in Oriente Petrolero vs Club Aurora?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Oriente Petrolero 2.01 · Club Aurora 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oriente Petrolero vs Club Aurora?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.