Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 09/11, 00:30

Prediction: Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero

Team pages: Blooming · Oriente Petrolero

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Blooming1.44

Oriente Petrolero1.44

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Blooming Draw Oriente Petrolero

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Blooming 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLWDLDLW

Oriente Petrolero 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWWDWD

Head-to-head

Blooming 2–4 Oriente Petrolero (6 last)

Oriente Petrolero3-1Blooming
Blooming0-3Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero0-1Blooming
Blooming2-3Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero0-2Blooming
Oriente Petrolero3-1Blooming

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blooming 1463 · Oriente Petrolero 1530

	Blooming	Draw	Oriente Petrolero
Our model	36%	27%	36%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oriente Petrolero (rating 1463 vs 1530).
H2H favours Oriente Petrolero: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Blooming	Oriente Petrolero
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.3	2.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.5	5.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.30

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 14:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.60▲	Bet365 2.60
X	3.40 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.59 ★
2	2.75 → 2.60▼	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 7.2% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:31 +4’	2.40	3.40	2.75
01:16 +13’	2.15▼	3.50▲	3.10▲
02:20 +6’	2.20▲	3.50	3.00▼
08:04 +11’	2.50▲	3.40▼	2.63▼
14:55 +1’	2.60▲	3.30▼	2.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:28	2.19	3.48	2.76
02:09 +17’	2.37▲	3.40▼	2.44▼
07:40 +34’	2.32▼	3.40	2.50▲
09:20 +2’	2.36▲	3.46▲	2.42▼
09:24 +54’	2.49▲	3.46	2.30▼
12:46 +6’	2.53▲	3.55▲	2.33▲
14:51 +5’	2.42▼	3.59▲	2.42▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Blooming 2–0–4 Oriente Petrolero

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Oriente Petrolero	3-1 HT 1-0	Blooming
31/08/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Blooming	0-3 HT 0-1	Oriente Petrolero
31/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Oriente Petrolero	0-1 HT 0-0	Blooming
08/02/26 America Friendlies	Blooming	2-3 HT 1-2	Oriente Petrolero
01/02/26 America Friendlies	Oriente Petrolero	0-2 HT 0-1	Blooming
30/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Oriente Petrolero	3-1 HT 2-0	Blooming

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	24	18	3	3	60	24	57
2	Always Ready	25	17	6	2	61	19	57
3	The Strongest	24	14	6	4	46	28	48
4	Real Potosi	24	10	9	5	31	17	39
5	Oriente Petrolero	24	11	5	8	41	30	38
6	Club Aurora	24	8	11	5	35	31	35
7	Guabira	25	9	6	10	40	50	33
8	Nacional Potosi	24	9	5	10	36	32	32
9	Real Oruro	25	9	4	12	41	58	31
10	Blooming	24	7	10	7	33	26	31
11	Independiente Petrolero	25	8	6	11	32	42	30
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	25	8	3	14	28	50	27
13	Real Tomayapo	25	6	5	14	19	42	23
14	Universitario De Vinto	24	6	3	15	31	48	21
15	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	25	6	2	17	37	57	20
16	GV San Jose	25	4	8	13	30	47	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Blooming	Oriente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo	2-1 W	2-0 W
GV San Jose	1-2 L	3-3 D
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	6-1 W	1-0 W
Real Oruro	1-1 D	3-2 W
Guabira	1-1 D	1-1 D
Club Aurora	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Oriente Petrolero (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Blooming

WDDLWDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
24/10	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-2	2	11	L
18/10	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
12/10	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
17/09	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	7	9	D
13/09	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	6-1	6	4	W
07/09	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
27/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
23/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	4	9	D
16/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	2	9	W

Oriente Petrolero

WWDLLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	0	4	D
26/10	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	1	7	W
19/10	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
11/10	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
18/09	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
12/09	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	1	9	L
06/09	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	10	6	L
25/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-3	4	9	D
22/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-0	3	5	W
15/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-2	3-2	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Blooming win (36%). Probabilities: Blooming 36%, draw 28%, Oriente Petrolero 36%.

How many goals are expected in Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Blooming 1.44 · Oriente Petrolero 1.44), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.