Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 08/11, 20:00

Prediction: Nacional Potosi vs Real Potosi

Team pages: Nacional Potosi · Real Potosi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Nacional Potosi1.46

Real Potosi1

1X2

48% 27% 25%

Nacional Potosi Draw Real Potosi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Nacional Potosi 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLDLWD

Real Potosi 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDLDWWWWLD

Head-to-head

Nacional Potosi 1–2–3 Real Potosi (6 last)

Nacional Potosi0-1Real Potosi
Real Potosi2-2Nacional Potosi
Real Potosi1-1Nacional Potosi
Nacional Potosi0-1Real Potosi
Real Potosi1-0Nacional Potosi
Nacional Potosi4-2Real Potosi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nacional Potosi 1540 · Real Potosi 1559

	Nacional Potosi	Draw	Real Potosi
Our model	47%	29%	25%
Market	48%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Real Potosi: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nacional Potosi	Real Potosi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.1	2.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	5.3 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.60

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 23:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 2.45▲	Bet365 2.45
X	3.60 → 3.40▼	Pinn 3.41 ★
2	3.50 → 2.70▼	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 7.3% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:25 +8’	1.90	3.60	3.50
15:18 +4’	1.91▲	3.70▲	3.60▲
13:21 +4’	2.15▲	3.60▼	3.00▼
21:37 +2’	2.10▼	3.60	3.20▲
22:57 +8’	2.45▲	3.40▼	2.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:57 +41’	2.08	3.50	3.01
22:43 +22’	2.51▲	3.37▼	2.44▼
08:04 +10’	2.52▲	3.39▲	2.46▲
10:02 +15’	2.39▼	3.39	2.59▲
14:41 +7’	2.36▼	3.41▲	2.62▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 6 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacional Potosi 1–2–3 Real Potosi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Nacional Potosi	0-1 HT 0-1	Real Potosi
20/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Real Potosi	2-2 HT 0-1	Nacional Potosi
12/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Potosi	1-1 HT 0-1	Nacional Potosi
08/02/26 America Friendlies	Nacional Potosi	0-1 HT 0-1	Real Potosi
01/02/26 America Friendlies	Real Potosi	1-0 HT 1-0	Nacional Potosi
26/09/21 Bolivia Apertura	Nacional Potosi	4-2 HT 3-0	Real Potosi

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	24	18	3	3	60	24	57
2	Always Ready	25	17	6	2	61	19	57
3	The Strongest	24	14	6	4	46	28	48
4	Real Potosi	24	10	9	5	31	17	39
5	Oriente Petrolero	24	11	5	8	41	30	38
6	Club Aurora	24	8	11	5	35	31	35
7	Guabira	25	9	6	10	40	50	33
8	Nacional Potosi	24	9	5	10	36	32	32
9	Real Oruro	25	9	4	12	41	58	31
10	Blooming	24	7	10	7	33	26	31
11	Independiente Petrolero	25	8	6	11	32	42	30
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	25	8	3	14	28	50	27
13	Real Tomayapo	25	6	5	14	19	42	23
14	Universitario De Vinto	24	6	3	15	31	48	21
15	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	25	6	2	17	37	57	20
16	GV San Jose	25	4	8	13	30	47	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nacional Potosi	Real Potosi
Real Oruro	1-1 D	2-0 W
Guabira	3-0 W	1-1 D
Club Aurora	2-2 D	0-0 D
Always Ready	0-4 L	1-1 D
Independiente Petrolero	3-0 W	1-1 D
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Nacional Potosi (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nacional Potosi

WWLWWLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
26/10	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	3-0	10	5	W
18/10	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
11/10	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
17/09	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-4	8	4	L
12/09	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
07/09	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
26/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
23/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
16/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	0	W

Real Potosi

DDLDWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	9	6	D
24/10	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
16/10	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
11/10	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
15/09	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
12/09	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	9	W
05/09	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
27/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	9	L
22/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
16/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nacional Potosi vs Real Potosi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nacional Potosi win (48%). Probabilities: Nacional Potosi 48%, draw 27%, Real Potosi 25%.

How many goals are expected in Nacional Potosi vs Real Potosi?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Nacional Potosi 1.46 · Real Potosi 1), with a 61% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Nacional Potosi vs Real Potosi?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.