Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 07/11, 20:00

Prediction: GV San Jose vs Real Oruro

Team pages: GV San Jose · Real Oruro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

GV San Jose2.14

Real Oruro1.36

1X2

54% 23% 23%

GV San Jose Draw Real Oruro

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

GV San Jose 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLWLWL

Real Oruro 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWLLWWLD

Head-to-head

GV San Jose 1–3–2 Real Oruro (6 last)

Real Oruro1-0GV San Jose
GV San Jose4-1Real Oruro
Real Oruro3-1GV San Jose
Real Oruro1-1GV San Jose
GV San Jose2-2Real Oruro
Real Oruro1-1GV San Jose

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GV San Jose 1434 · Real Oruro 1487

	GV San Jose	Draw	Real Oruro
Our model	54%	22%	23%
Market	54%	23%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Oruro (rating 1434 vs 1487).
H2H favours Real Oruro: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GV San Jose	Real Oruro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.3	1.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.3	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.7	2.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.5	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.70

X4.10

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:16 +6’	1.70	4.10	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GV San Jose 1–3–2 Real Oruro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Real Oruro	1-0 HT 0-0	GV San Jose
29/08/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	GV San Jose	4-1 HT 2-1	Real Oruro
11/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Oruro	3-1 HT 0-1	GV San Jose
02/02/26 America Friendlies	Real Oruro	1-1 HT 0-0	GV San Jose
08/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	GV San Jose	2-2 HT 2-0	Real Oruro
01/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Oruro	1-1 HT 0-0	GV San Jose

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	24	18	3	3	60	24	57
2	Always Ready	24	16	6	2	58	17	54
3	The Strongest	24	14	6	4	46	28	48
4	Real Potosi	24	10	9	5	31	17	39
5	Oriente Petrolero	24	11	5	8	41	30	38
6	Club Aurora	24	8	11	5	35	31	35
7	Nacional Potosi	24	9	5	10	36	32	32
8	Independiente Petrolero	24	8	6	10	32	40	30
9	Guabira	24	8	6	10	35	49	30
10	Real Oruro	24	8	4	12	38	57	28
11	Blooming	23	6	10	7	31	25	28
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	24	8	3	13	27	45	27
13	Universitario De Vinto	24	6	3	15	31	48	21
14	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	24	6	2	16	35	54	20
15	Real Tomayapo	23	5	5	13	16	40	20
16	GV San Jose	24	4	8	12	29	44	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GV San Jose	Real Oruro
The Strongest	2-4 L	0-5 L
Blooming	2-1 W	1-1 D
Bolivar	2-4 L	2-4 L
Nacional Potosi	0-3 L	1-1 D
Club Aurora	0-3 L	1-0 W
Oriente Petrolero	3-3 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: GV San Jose (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GV San Jose

LDDLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	2-4	16	6	L
24/10	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	10	11	W
17/10	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
12/10	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	3-1	4-1	5	7	W
18/09	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-3	2-4	0	5	L
12/09	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
05/09	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-3	0-3	5	4	L
25/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-3	2	9	D
22/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	2-2	6	6	D
17/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	6	L

Real Oruro

LLDWLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
25/10	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-5	1	8	L
17/10	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
10/10	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-1	5	7	W
15/09	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
12/09	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-5	3	2	L
04/09	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
27/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
23/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	2-4	3	5	L
15/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	2-3	2-3	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GV San Jose vs Real Oruro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GV San Jose win (54%). Probabilities: GV San Jose 54%, draw 23%, Real Oruro 23%.

How many goals are expected in GV San Jose vs Real Oruro?

The model expects 3.49 goals (GV San Jose 2.14 · Real Oruro 1.36), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in GV San Jose vs Real Oruro?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.