Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 10/11, 01:30

Prediction: Club Aurora vs Universitario De Vinto

Team pages: Club Aurora · Universitario De Vinto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Club Aurora1.82

Universitario De Vinto1.21

1X2

51% 24% 25%

Club Aurora Draw Universitario De Vinto

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Aurora 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWWLDLWD

Universitario De Vinto 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDLWLL

Head-to-head

Club Aurora 4–2–0 Universitario De Vinto (6 last)

Club Aurora4-2Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto1-1Club Aurora
Universitario De Vinto1-2Club Aurora
Club Aurora2-1Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto2-2Club Aurora
Club Aurora2-0Universitario De Vinto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Aurora 1543 · Universitario De Vinto 1432

	Club Aurora	Draw	Universitario De Vinto
Our model	51%	25%	24%
Market	51%	24%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Aurora (rating 1543 vs 1432).
H2H favours Club Aurora: 4-2-0.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Aurora	Universitario De Vinto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.9	3.8 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.5	5.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.90

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.80▲	Bet365 1.80
X	5.00 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	8.00 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:14 +3’	1.33	5.00	8.00
12:45 +11’	1.57▲	4.20▼	4.75▼
16:41 +3’	1.80▲	3.90▼	3.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Aurora 4–2–0 Universitario De Vinto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Club Aurora	4-2 HT 0-2	Universitario De Vinto
02/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Universitario De Vinto	1-1 HT 1-0	Club Aurora
02/06/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Universitario De Vinto	1-2 HT 1-1	Club Aurora
08/02/26 America Friendlies	Club Aurora	2-1 HT 1-0	Universitario De Vinto
31/01/26 America Friendlies	Universitario De Vinto	2-2 HT 1-0	Club Aurora
08/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Club Aurora	2-0 HT 1-0	Universitario De Vinto

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	24	18	3	3	60	24	57
2	Always Ready	25	17	6	2	61	19	57
3	The Strongest	24	14	6	4	46	28	48
4	Real Potosi	24	10	9	5	31	17	39
5	Oriente Petrolero	24	11	5	8	41	30	38
6	Club Aurora	24	8	11	5	35	31	35
7	Guabira	25	9	6	10	40	50	33
8	Nacional Potosi	24	9	5	10	36	32	32
9	Real Oruro	25	9	4	12	41	58	31
10	Blooming	24	7	10	7	33	26	31
11	Independiente Petrolero	25	8	6	11	32	42	30
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	25	8	3	14	28	50	27
13	Real Tomayapo	25	6	5	14	19	42	23
14	Universitario De Vinto	24	6	3	15	31	48	21
15	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	25	6	2	17	37	57	20
16	GV San Jose	25	4	8	13	30	47	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Aurora	Universitario De Vinto
Real Tomayapo	1-0 W	0-1 L
Real Oruro	0-1 L	1-3 L
Nacional Potosi	2-2 D	2-0 W
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2-0 W	2-1 W
Always Ready	2-2 D	1-3 L
Blooming	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Club Aurora (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Aurora

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
25/10	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
17/10	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
11/10	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-2	12	5	D
16/09	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	1-3	9	5	L
12/09	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
05/09	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	3-0	3-0	5	4	W
27/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-2	3	7	D
22/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	9	9	L

Universitario De Vinto

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	1-3	5	6	L
27/10	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	2	7	L
17/10	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	2-1	1	7	W
10/10	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	1-3	20	7	L
17/09	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	9	D
13/09	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-1	7	6	W
04/09	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
22/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	2-2	3-4	5	5	L
14/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	10	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Aurora vs Universitario De Vinto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Aurora win (51%). Probabilities: Club Aurora 51%, draw 24%, Universitario De Vinto 25%.

How many goals are expected in Club Aurora vs Universitario De Vinto?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Club Aurora 1.82 · Universitario De Vinto 1.21), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Aurora vs Universitario De Vinto?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.