Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 16/11, 00:05
Prediction: Suchitepequez vs Antigua GFC
Team pages: Suchitepequez · Antigua GFC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Suchitepequez1.49
Antigua GFC1.25
1X2
Suchitepequez
Draw
Antigua GFC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Suchitepequez
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Antigua GFC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Suchitepequez
2–4
Antigua GFC
(6 last)
- Antigua GFC3-2Suchitepequez
- Antigua GFC2-3Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez1-3Antigua GFC
- Antigua GFC5-0Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez1-0Antigua GFC
- Antigua GFC2-1Suchitepequez
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suchitepequez 1444 · Antigua GFC 1531
| Suchitepequez | Draw | Antigua GFC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antigua GFC (rating 1444 vs 1531).
- H2H favours Antigua GFC: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suchitepequez | Antigua GFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.5 | 5.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suchitepequez 2–0–4 Antigua GFC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 19/04/18 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Suchitepequez |
| 18/02/18 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Antigua GFC |
| 08/10/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 05/08/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Antigua GFC |
| 29/03/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Suchitepequez |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 34 |
| 3 | Xelaju | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 31 |
| 4 | Guastatoya | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 31 |
| 5 | CSD Municipal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
| 6 | Deportivo San Pedro | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 26 |
| 7 | Aurora | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 29 | 25 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 28 | 25 |
| 9 | Marquense | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 25 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 23 |
| 11 | Malacateco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 19 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 12 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Suchitepequez | Antigua GFC |
|---|---|---|
| Guastatoya | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Malacateco | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Coban Imperial | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Aurora | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Marquense | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| CSD Municipal | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Xelaju | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 5 L | 5 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Antigua GFC (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suchitepequez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 03/11 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 28/10 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/10 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 19/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 16/10 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 05/10 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/09 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
Antigua GFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/11 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/10 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 25/10 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 20/10 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 15/10 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 12/10 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suchitepequez vs Antigua GFC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suchitepequez win (42%). Probabilities: Suchitepequez 42%, draw 27%, Antigua GFC 31%.
How many goals are expected in Suchitepequez vs Antigua GFC?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Suchitepequez 1.49 · Antigua GFC 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Suchitepequez vs Antigua GFC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.