Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 15/11, 22:00
Prediction: Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense
Team pages: Deportivo San Pedro · Marquense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
Deportivo San Pedro1.33
Marquense0.8
1X2
Deportivo San Pedro
Draw
Marquense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo San Pedro
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Marquense
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo San Pedro
0–4–2
Marquense
(6 last)
- Marquense0-0Deportivo San Pedro
- Deportivo San Pedro0-0Marquense
- Marquense2-1Deportivo San Pedro
- Deportivo San Pedro2-2Marquense
- Marquense1-0Deportivo San Pedro
- Deportivo San Pedro0-0Marquense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo San Pedro 1471 · Marquense 1472
| Deportivo San Pedro | Draw | Marquense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 31% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Marquense: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo San Pedro | Marquense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.7 | 2.7 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.6 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo San Pedro 0–4–2 Marquense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo San Pedro |
| 10/03/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Deportivo San Pedro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Marquense |
| 28/01/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Marquense | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo San Pedro |
| 27/09/23 Guatemala Primera Division | Deportivo San Pedro | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Marquense |
| 13/08/23 Guatemala Primera Division | Marquense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo San Pedro |
| 16/04/23 Guatemala Primera Division | Deportivo San Pedro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Marquense |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 34 |
| 3 | Xelaju | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 31 |
| 4 | Guastatoya | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 31 |
| 5 | CSD Municipal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
| 6 | Deportivo San Pedro | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 26 |
| 7 | Aurora | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 29 | 25 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 28 | 25 |
| 9 | Marquense | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 25 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 23 |
| 11 | Malacateco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 19 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 12 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo San Pedro | Marquense |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Mixco | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CSD Municipal | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Antigua GFC | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Malacateco | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Aurora | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Suchitepequez | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Xelaju | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Guastatoya | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Coban Imperial | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 5 L | 3 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Marquense (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo San Pedro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 01/11 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 25/10 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/10 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 04/10 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
Marquense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 03/11 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/10 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 25/10 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/10 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 15/10 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 12/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo San Pedro win (49%). Probabilities: Deportivo San Pedro 49%, draw 29%, Marquense 22%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense?
The model expects 2.13 goals (Deportivo San Pedro 1.33 · Marquense 0.8), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.