Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 31/10, 09:00

Prediction: Golden Arrows Reserves vs TS Galaxy Reserves

Team pages: Golden Arrows Reserves · TS Galaxy Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Golden Arrows Reserves1.68

TS Galaxy Reserves1.28

1X2

46% 26% 28%

Golden Arrows Reserves Draw TS Galaxy Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Golden Arrows Reserves 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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TS Galaxy Reserves 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWWDLW

Head-to-head

Golden Arrows Reserves 3–1–2 TS Galaxy Reserves (6 last)

TS Galaxy Reserves1-3Golden Arrows Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves2-1TS Galaxy Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves2-3TS Galaxy Reserves
TS Galaxy Reserves1-1Golden Arrows Reserves
TS Galaxy Reserves2-1Golden Arrows Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves1-0TS Galaxy Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Golden Arrows Reserves 1524 · TS Galaxy Reserves 1504

	Golden Arrows Reserves	Draw	TS Galaxy Reserves
Our model	46%	26%	28%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Golden Arrows Reserves: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Golden Arrows Reserves	TS Galaxy Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.8	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/63/38%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	1.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.40

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:14 +5’	1.95	3.40	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Golden Arrows Reserves 3–1–2 TS Galaxy Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	TS Galaxy Reserves	1-3 HT 1-2	Golden Arrows Reserves
22/11/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	2-1 HT 2-1	TS Galaxy Reserves
22/02/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	2-3 HT 0-3	TS Galaxy Reserves
21/09/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	TS Galaxy Reserves	1-1 HT 0-0	Golden Arrows Reserves
27/04/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	TS Galaxy Reserves	2-1 HT 1-0	Golden Arrows Reserves
25/11/23 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	1-0 HT 1-0	TS Galaxy Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	5	5	0	0	17	5	15
2	Sekhukhune United Reserves	5	4	1	0	11	2	13
3	Siwelele FC Reserves	5	3	1	1	5	2	10
4	TS Galaxy Reserves	5	3	1	1	4	2	10
5	Golden Arrows Reserves	5	3	0	2	13	7	9
6	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	4	3	0	1	11	7	9
7	Orlando Pirates Reserves	5	2	1	2	9	7	7
8	Amazulu Reserves	5	2	1	2	5	3	7
9	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	5	2	1	2	9	11	7
10	Polokwane City Reserves	5	2	0	3	6	7	6
11	Kruger United Reserves	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
12	Milford FC Reserves	5	1	1	3	5	8	4
13	Marumo Gallants Reserves	5	1	1	3	9	14	4
14	Richards Bay FC Reserves	5	1	0	4	2	7	3
15	Chippa United Reserves	5	1	0	4	5	19	3
16	Durban City Reserves	5	0	1	4	3	12	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Golden Arrows Reserves	TS Galaxy Reserves
Polokwane City Reserves	3-2 W	1-0 W
Amazulu Reserves	0-2 L	0-0 D
Orbit College Reserves	0-1 L	2-4 L
Durban City Reserves	1-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TS Galaxy Reserves (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Golden Arrows Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
17/10	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
10/10	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	9-2	–	–	W
04/10	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	3-2	10	5	W
26/09	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
09/05	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	3-1	–	–	W
02/05	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	3-5	3	4	L
25/04	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
19/04	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
11/04	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	1-4	4	5	L

TS Galaxy Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Kruger United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/10	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
10/10	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
09/05	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
03/05	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-2	2-4	4	6	L
25/04	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
18/04	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-3	–	–	L
11/04	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Golden Arrows Reserves vs TS Galaxy Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Golden Arrows Reserves win (46%). Probabilities: Golden Arrows Reserves 46%, draw 26%, TS Galaxy Reserves 28%.

How many goals are expected in Golden Arrows Reserves vs TS Galaxy Reserves?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Golden Arrows Reserves 1.68 · TS Galaxy Reserves 1.28), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Golden Arrows Reserves vs TS Galaxy Reserves?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.