Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 08/11, 09:00

Prediction: Polokwane City Reserves vs Orlando Pirates Reserves

Team pages: Polokwane City Reserves · Orlando Pirates Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Polokwane City Reserves0.69

Orlando Pirates Reserves2

1X2

11% 21% 68%

Polokwane City Reserves Draw Orlando Pirates Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Polokwane City Reserves 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWWD

Orlando Pirates Reserves 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLDWW

Head-to-head

Polokwane City Reserves 1–1–3 Orlando Pirates Reserves (5 last)

Orlando Pirates Reserves1-1Polokwane City Reserves
Polokwane City Reserves0-1Orlando Pirates Reserves
Orlando Pirates Reserves2-1Polokwane City Reserves
Polokwane City Reserves2-1Orlando Pirates Reserves
Orlando Pirates Reserves2-0Polokwane City Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polokwane City Reserves 1450 · Orlando Pirates Reserves 1561

	Polokwane City Reserves	Draw	Orlando Pirates Reserves
Our model	11%	22%	67%
Market	12%	20%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orlando Pirates Reserves (rating 1450 vs 1561).
H2H favours Orlando Pirates Reserves: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polokwane City Reserves	Orlando Pirates Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.8	2.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 2.9	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

17.50

X4.50

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.88

2 (-1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:39 +4’	7.50	4.50	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Polokwane City Reserves 1–1–3 Orlando Pirates Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Orlando Pirates Reserves	1-1 HT 0-0	Polokwane City Reserves
13/04/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Polokwane City Reserves	0-1 HT 0-1	Orlando Pirates Reserves
18/01/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Orlando Pirates Reserves	2-1 HT 1-0	Polokwane City Reserves
11/05/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Polokwane City Reserves	2-1 HT 1-0	Orlando Pirates Reserves
24/11/18 South Africa Diski Challenge	Orlando Pirates Reserves	2-0 HT 2-0	Polokwane City Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	7	7	0	0	22	6	21
2	Sekhukhune United Reserves	6	4	1	1	11	7	13
3	Golden Arrows Reserves	6	4	0	2	15	7	12
4	TS Galaxy Reserves	7	3	2	2	6	6	11
5	Orlando Pirates Reserves	6	3	1	2	14	7	10
6	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	5	3	1	1	12	8	10
7	Amazulu Reserves	7	3	1	3	9	7	10
8	Siwelele FC Reserves	7	3	1	3	5	5	10
9	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	7	3	1	3	11	14	10
10	Richards Bay FC Reserves	7	3	0	4	6	8	9
11	Polokwane City Reserves	6	2	1	3	7	8	7
12	Durban City Reserves	7	2	1	4	5	12	7
13	Milford FC Reserves	7	1	2	4	6	10	5
14	Chippa United Reserves	7	1	2	4	8	22	5
15	Kruger United Reserves	6	1	1	4	5	9	4
16	Marumo Gallants Reserves	6	1	1	4	9	15	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polokwane City Reserves	Orlando Pirates Reserves
Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	1-1 D	2-0 W
Amazulu Reserves	2-1 W	2-1 W
Stellenbosch FC Reserves	1-2 L	4-1 W
Golden Arrows Reserves	2-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Orlando Pirates Reserves (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polokwane City Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/10	Milford FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
17/10	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
11/10	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
04/10	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	2-3	1	5	L
27/09	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
09/05	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-3	–	–	L
03/05	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
25/04	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
21/04	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	1-3	3	3	L

Orlando Pirates Reserves

WWWWLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	3-0	5-0	3	1	W
24/10	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
18/10	Kruger United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
10/10	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
03/10	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	4-1	2	8	W
27/09	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-3	2-3	4	6	L
09/05	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	2-0	1	1	W
02/05	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-0	9	8	W
25/04	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	2-1	4	8	W
18/04	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-1	9	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polokwane City Reserves vs Orlando Pirates Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Orlando Pirates Reserves win (68%). Probabilities: Polokwane City Reserves 11%, draw 21%, Orlando Pirates Reserves 68%.

How many goals are expected in Polokwane City Reserves vs Orlando Pirates Reserves?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Polokwane City Reserves 0.69 · Orlando Pirates Reserves 2), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Polokwane City Reserves vs Orlando Pirates Reserves?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.