Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 31/10, 09:00

Prediction: Amazulu Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Team pages: Amazulu Reserves · Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Amazulu Reserves1.28

Stellenbosch FC Reserves1.56

1X2

30% 26% 43%

Amazulu Reserves Draw Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Amazulu Reserves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWDLL

Stellenbosch FC Reserves 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLWDW

Head-to-head

Amazulu Reserves 0–1–5 Stellenbosch FC Reserves (6 last)

Stellenbosch FC Reserves1-1Amazulu Reserves
Amazulu Reserves1-4Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Stellenbosch FC Reserves2-0Amazulu Reserves
Amazulu Reserves1-3Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Stellenbosch FC Reserves3-2Amazulu Reserves
Amazulu Reserves0-1Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amazulu Reserves 1491 · Stellenbosch FC Reserves 1515

	Amazulu Reserves	Draw	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Our model	30%	27%	43%
Market	31%	26%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Stellenbosch FC Reserves: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Amazulu Reserves	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/38/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 2.6	3.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.50

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:55 +10’	2.90	3.50	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Amazulu Reserves 0–1–5 Stellenbosch FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	1-1 HT 1-1	Amazulu Reserves
07/09/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	1-4 HT 1-2	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
19/04/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	Amazulu Reserves
16/11/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	1-3 HT 0-3	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
06/04/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	3-2 HT 2-1	Amazulu Reserves
19/11/23 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	0-1 HT 0-1	Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	5	5	0	0	17	5	15
2	Sekhukhune United Reserves	5	4	1	0	11	2	13
3	Siwelele FC Reserves	5	3	1	1	5	2	10
4	TS Galaxy Reserves	5	3	1	1	4	2	10
5	Golden Arrows Reserves	5	3	0	2	13	7	9
6	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	4	3	0	1	11	7	9
7	Orlando Pirates Reserves	5	2	1	2	9	7	7
8	Amazulu Reserves	5	2	1	2	5	3	7
9	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	5	2	1	2	9	11	7
10	Polokwane City Reserves	5	2	0	3	6	7	6
11	Kruger United Reserves	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
12	Milford FC Reserves	5	1	1	3	5	8	4
13	Marumo Gallants Reserves	5	1	1	3	9	14	4
14	Richards Bay FC Reserves	5	1	0	4	2	7	3
15	Chippa United Reserves	5	1	0	4	5	19	3
16	Durban City Reserves	5	0	1	4	3	12	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Amazulu Reserves	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Siwelele FC Reserves	0-1 L	0-0 D
Polokwane City Reserves	1-2 L	2-1 W
Chippa United Reserves	2-1 W	1-2 L
Orlando Pirates Reserves	1-2 L	1-4 L
Sekhukhune United Reserves	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Stellenbosch FC Reserves (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amazulu Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
17/10	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-2	2	8	L
10/10	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-0	1	1	W
26/09	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-0	0	6	W
09/05	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
02/05	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	3-1	3	3	W
26/04	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
18/04	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-2	0	6	L
12/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	1-3	2	3	L

Stellenbosch FC Reserves

LLWWWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-1	5-4	4	2	W
18/10	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
11/10	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
03/10	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	1-4	9	8	L
26/09	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
09/05	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	3-2	7	3	W
02/05	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
26/04	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
18/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
11/04	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amazulu Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stellenbosch FC Reserves win (43%). Probabilities: Amazulu Reserves 30%, draw 26%, Stellenbosch FC Reserves 43%.

How many goals are expected in Amazulu Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Amazulu Reserves 1.28 · Stellenbosch FC Reserves 1.56), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Amazulu Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.