Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 08/11, 09:00

Prediction: Golden Arrows Reserves vs Marumo Gallants Reserves

Team pages: Golden Arrows Reserves · Marumo Gallants Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

Golden Arrows Reserves2.38

Marumo Gallants Reserves1.51

1X2

56% 22% 22%

Golden Arrows Reserves Draw Marumo Gallants Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Golden Arrows Reserves 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWWWLW

Marumo Gallants Reserves 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLDWLLL

Head-to-head

Golden Arrows Reserves 3–2–1 Marumo Gallants Reserves (6 last)

Marumo Gallants Reserves3-2Golden Arrows Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves2-1Marumo Gallants Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves0-0Marumo Gallants Reserves
Marumo Gallants Reserves1-2Golden Arrows Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves1-1Marumo Gallants Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves3-0Marumo Gallants Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Golden Arrows Reserves 1524 · Marumo Gallants Reserves 1457

	Golden Arrows Reserves	Draw	Marumo Gallants Reserves
Our model	56%	21%	23%
Market	55%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Golden Arrows Reserves (rating 1524 vs 1457).
H2H favours Golden Arrows Reserves: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Golden Arrows Reserves	Marumo Gallants Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.4	1.5 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/75/25%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.9	2.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.80

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:36 +18’	1.61	3.80	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Golden Arrows Reserves 3–2–1 Marumo Gallants Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Marumo Gallants Reserves	3-2 HT 1-1	Golden Arrows Reserves
25/10/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	2-1	Marumo Gallants Reserves
05/04/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	Marumo Gallants Reserves
11/01/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Marumo Gallants Reserves	1-2 HT 1-1	Golden Arrows Reserves
24/09/22 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	1-1 HT 1-1	Marumo Gallants Reserves
16/04/22 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	3-0 HT 0-0	Marumo Gallants Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	7	7	0	0	22	6	21
2	Sekhukhune United Reserves	6	4	1	1	11	7	13
3	Golden Arrows Reserves	6	4	0	2	15	7	12
4	TS Galaxy Reserves	7	3	2	2	6	6	11
5	Orlando Pirates Reserves	6	3	1	2	14	7	10
6	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	5	3	1	1	12	8	10
7	Amazulu Reserves	7	3	1	3	9	7	10
8	Siwelele FC Reserves	7	3	1	3	5	5	10
9	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	7	3	1	3	11	14	10
10	Richards Bay FC Reserves	7	3	0	4	6	8	9
11	Polokwane City Reserves	6	2	1	3	7	8	7
12	Durban City Reserves	7	2	1	4	5	12	7
13	Milford FC Reserves	7	1	2	4	6	10	5
14	Chippa United Reserves	7	1	2	4	8	22	5
15	Kruger United Reserves	6	1	1	4	5	9	4
16	Marumo Gallants Reserves	6	1	1	4	9	15	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Golden Arrows Reserves	Marumo Gallants Reserves
Richards Bay FC Reserves	1-0 W	0-1 L
Orbit College Reserves	0-1 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Golden Arrows Reserves

LWLWLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
24/10	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
17/10	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
10/10	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	9-2	–	–	W
04/10	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	3-2	10	5	W
26/09	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
09/05	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	3-1	–	–	W
02/05	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	3-5	3	4	L
25/04	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
19/04	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	2	3	L

Marumo Gallants Reserves

DLLWLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
25/10	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-2	4-5	8	2	L
17/10	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-4	1	2	L
11/10	Milford FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	4-2	–	–	W
04/10	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
26/09	Kruger United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-2	–	–	L
09/05	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	4-1	–	–	W
02/05	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
25/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
19/04	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Golden Arrows Reserves vs Marumo Gallants Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Golden Arrows Reserves win (56%). Probabilities: Golden Arrows Reserves 56%, draw 22%, Marumo Gallants Reserves 22%.

How many goals are expected in Golden Arrows Reserves vs Marumo Gallants Reserves?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Golden Arrows Reserves 2.38 · Marumo Gallants Reserves 1.51), with a 61% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Golden Arrows Reserves vs Marumo Gallants Reserves?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.