Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 01/11, 09:00

Prediction: Marumo Gallants Reserves vs Richards Bay FC Reserves

Team pages: Marumo Gallants Reserves · Richards Bay FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Marumo Gallants Reserves1.59

Richards Bay FC Reserves1.44

1X2

40% 26% 34%

Marumo Gallants Reserves Draw Richards Bay FC Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Marumo Gallants Reserves 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLWLDWLL

Richards Bay FC Reserves 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Marumo Gallants Reserves 0–2–2 Richards Bay FC Reserves (4 last)

Marumo Gallants Reserves2-2Richards Bay FC Reserves
Richards Bay FC Reserves2-0Marumo Gallants Reserves
Richards Bay FC Reserves2-1Marumo Gallants Reserves
Richards Bay FC Reserves2-2Marumo Gallants Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marumo Gallants Reserves 1466 · Richards Bay FC Reserves 1464

	Marumo Gallants Reserves	Draw	Richards Bay FC Reserves
Our model	40%	26%	34%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Richards Bay FC Reserves: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marumo Gallants Reserves	Richards Bay FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.6	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.4	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/20/80%	50/17/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.6	0.7 / 1.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13%

Time*	1	X	2
13:08 +23’	2.20	3.40	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Marumo Gallants Reserves 0–2–2 Richards Bay FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Marumo Gallants Reserves	2-2	Richards Bay FC Reserves
04/10/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Richards Bay FC Reserves	2-0 HT 0-0	Marumo Gallants Reserves
16/02/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Richards Bay FC Reserves	2-1 HT 2-0	Marumo Gallants Reserves
30/10/22 South Africa Diski Challenge	Richards Bay FC Reserves	2-2 HT 0-2	Marumo Gallants Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	5	5	0	0	17	5	15
2	Sekhukhune United Reserves	5	4	1	0	11	2	13
3	Siwelele FC Reserves	5	3	1	1	5	2	10
4	TS Galaxy Reserves	5	3	1	1	4	2	10
5	Golden Arrows Reserves	5	3	0	2	13	7	9
6	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	4	3	0	1	11	7	9
7	Orlando Pirates Reserves	5	2	1	2	9	7	7
8	Amazulu Reserves	5	2	1	2	5	3	7
9	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	5	2	1	2	9	11	7
10	Polokwane City Reserves	5	2	0	3	6	7	6
11	Kruger United Reserves	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
12	Milford FC Reserves	5	1	1	3	5	8	4
13	Marumo Gallants Reserves	5	1	1	3	9	14	4
14	Richards Bay FC Reserves	5	1	0	4	2	7	3
15	Chippa United Reserves	5	1	0	4	5	19	3
16	Durban City Reserves	5	0	1	4	3	12	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marumo Gallants Reserves	Richards Bay FC Reserves
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	0-4 L	0-1 L
Milford FC Reserves	4-2 W	2-0 W
Sekhukhune United Reserves	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marumo Gallants Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-2	4-5	8	2	L
17/10	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-4	1	2	L
11/10	Milford FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	4-2	–	–	W
04/10	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
26/09	Kruger United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-2	–	–	L
09/05	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	4-1	–	–	W
02/05	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
25/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
19/04	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/04	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-1	–	–	D

Richards Bay FC Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
10/10	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-2	1	1	L
27/09	Milford FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
09/05	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	4-0	2	4	W
03/05	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
26/04	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-2	3	1	L
19/04	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-2	–	–	D
12/04	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marumo Gallants Reserves vs Richards Bay FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Marumo Gallants Reserves win (40%). Probabilities: Marumo Gallants Reserves 40%, draw 26%, Richards Bay FC Reserves 34%.

How many goals are expected in Marumo Gallants Reserves vs Richards Bay FC Reserves?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Marumo Gallants Reserves 1.59 · Richards Bay FC Reserves 1.44), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Marumo Gallants Reserves vs Richards Bay FC Reserves?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.