Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 14/11, 09:00

Prediction: Marumo Gallants Reserves vs TS Galaxy Reserves

Team pages: Marumo Gallants Reserves · TS Galaxy Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Marumo Gallants Reserves1.3

TS Galaxy Reserves1.43

1X2

34% 27% 39%

Marumo Gallants Reserves Draw TS Galaxy Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Marumo Gallants Reserves 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWLLLL

TS Galaxy Reserves 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDLWLD

Head-to-head

Marumo Gallants Reserves 3–1–0 TS Galaxy Reserves (4 last)

Marumo Gallants Reserves1-1TS Galaxy Reserves
TS Galaxy Reserves2-3Marumo Gallants Reserves
TS Galaxy Reserves1-2Marumo Gallants Reserves
Marumo Gallants Reserves1-0TS Galaxy Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marumo Gallants Reserves 1443 · TS Galaxy Reserves 1518

	Marumo Gallants Reserves	Draw	TS Galaxy Reserves
Our model	33%	28%	39%
Market	34%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TS Galaxy Reserves (rating 1443 vs 1518).
H2H favours Marumo Gallants Reserves: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marumo Gallants Reserves	TS Galaxy Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.8	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.6	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/29/71%	33/50/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.9	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:38 +27’	2.63	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Marumo Gallants Reserves 3–1–0 TS Galaxy Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Marumo Gallants Reserves	1-1	TS Galaxy Reserves
06/09/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	TS Galaxy Reserves	2-3	Marumo Gallants Reserves
01/04/23 South Africa Diski Challenge	TS Galaxy Reserves	1-2 HT 1-1	Marumo Gallants Reserves
17/09/22 South Africa Diski Challenge	Marumo Gallants Reserves	1-0 HT 0-0	TS Galaxy Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	7	7	0	0	22	6	21
2	Golden Arrows Reserves	7	5	0	2	19	8	15
3	Orlando Pirates Reserves	7	4	1	2	16	8	13
4	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	6	4	1	1	14	9	13
5	Sekhukhune United Reserves	7	4	1	2	12	9	13
6	TS Galaxy Reserves	7	3	2	2	6	6	11
7	Amazulu Reserves	7	3	1	3	9	7	10
8	Siwelele FC Reserves	7	3	1	3	5	5	10
9	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	7	3	1	3	11	14	10
10	Richards Bay FC Reserves	7	3	0	4	6	8	9
11	Polokwane City Reserves	7	2	1	4	8	10	7
12	Durban City Reserves	7	2	1	4	5	12	7
13	Milford FC Reserves	7	1	2	4	6	10	5
14	Chippa United Reserves	7	1	2	4	8	22	5
15	Kruger United Reserves	6	1	1	4	5	9	4
16	Marumo Gallants Reserves	7	1	1	5	10	19	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marumo Gallants Reserves	TS Galaxy Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves	1-4 L	0-2 L
Kruger United Reserves	0-2 L	1-0 W
Orbit College Reserves	4-1 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TS Galaxy Reserves (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marumo Gallants Reserves

LLWLDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-4	1-4	4	4	L
01/11	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
25/10	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-2	4-5	8	2	L
17/10	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-4	1	2	L
11/10	Milford FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	4-2	–	–	W
04/10	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
26/09	Kruger United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-2	–	–	L
09/05	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	4-1	–	–	W
02/05	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
25/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-4	3	2	L

TS Galaxy Reserves

WLWWWDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/10	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
24/10	Kruger United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/10	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
10/10	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
09/05	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
03/05	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-2	2-4	4	6	L
25/04	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marumo Gallants Reserves vs TS Galaxy Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TS Galaxy Reserves win (39%). Probabilities: Marumo Gallants Reserves 34%, draw 27%, TS Galaxy Reserves 39%.

How many goals are expected in Marumo Gallants Reserves vs TS Galaxy Reserves?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Marumo Gallants Reserves 1.3 · TS Galaxy Reserves 1.43), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Marumo Gallants Reserves vs TS Galaxy Reserves?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.