Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 14/11, 09:00

Prediction: Polokwane City Reserves vs Chippa United Reserves

Team pages: Polokwane City Reserves · Chippa United Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Polokwane City Reserves2.12

Chippa United Reserves1.1

1X2

60% 22% 18%

Polokwane City Reserves Draw Chippa United Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Polokwane City Reserves 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Chippa United Reserves 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Polokwane City Reserves 1–3–1 Chippa United Reserves (5 last)

Chippa United Reserves1-1Polokwane City Reserves
Polokwane City Reserves3-1Chippa United Reserves
Polokwane City Reserves0-0Chippa United Reserves
Polokwane City Reserves0-2Chippa United Reserves
Polokwane City Reserves1-1Chippa United Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polokwane City Reserves 1441 · Chippa United Reserves 1425

	Polokwane City Reserves	Draw	Chippa United Reserves
Our model	60%	22%	18%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polokwane City Reserves	Chippa United Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.7	1 / 3.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.3 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/38/38%	0/14/86%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.5	0.8 / 1.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:44 +21’	1.50	4.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Polokwane City Reserves 1–3–1 Chippa United Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Chippa United Reserves	1-1	Polokwane City Reserves
07/09/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Polokwane City Reserves	3-1 HT 1-0	Chippa United Reserves
12/01/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Polokwane City Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	Chippa United Reserves
17/09/23 South Africa Diski Challenge	Polokwane City Reserves	0-2 HT 0-0	Chippa United Reserves
25/01/20 South Africa Diski Challenge	Polokwane City Reserves	1-1 HT 0-0	Chippa United Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	7	7	0	0	22	6	21
2	Golden Arrows Reserves	7	5	0	2	19	8	15
3	Orlando Pirates Reserves	7	4	1	2	16	8	13
4	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	6	4	1	1	14	9	13
5	Sekhukhune United Reserves	7	4	1	2	12	9	13
6	TS Galaxy Reserves	7	3	2	2	6	6	11
7	Amazulu Reserves	7	3	1	3	9	7	10
8	Siwelele FC Reserves	7	3	1	3	5	5	10
9	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	7	3	1	3	11	14	10
10	Richards Bay FC Reserves	7	3	0	4	6	8	9
11	Polokwane City Reserves	7	2	1	4	8	10	7
12	Durban City Reserves	7	2	1	4	5	12	7
13	Milford FC Reserves	7	1	2	4	6	10	5
14	Chippa United Reserves	7	1	2	4	8	22	5
15	Kruger United Reserves	6	1	1	4	5	9	4
16	Marumo Gallants Reserves	7	1	1	5	10	19	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polokwane City Reserves	Chippa United Reserves
Orlando Pirates Reserves	1-2 L	0-2 L
Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	1-1 D	0-3 L
Milford FC Reserves	1-0 W	1-1 D
Amazulu Reserves	2-1 W	1-2 L
Stellenbosch FC Reserves	1-2 L	2-1 W
Golden Arrows Reserves	2-3 L	2-9 L
TS Galaxy Reserves	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Polokwane City Reserves (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polokwane City Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-2	8	5	L
31/10	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/10	Milford FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
17/10	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
11/10	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
04/10	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	2-3	1	5	L
27/09	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
09/05	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-3	–	–	L
03/05	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
25/04	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	5	2	L

Chippa United Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/10	Milford FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
25/10	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
10/10	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-9	–	–	L
03/10	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-2	2	3	L
26/09	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	2-1	2	1	W
09/05	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-3	0-11	1	0	L
02/05	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-2	2	8	L
26/04	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
18/04	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-2	2-3	0	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polokwane City Reserves vs Chippa United Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Polokwane City Reserves win (60%). Probabilities: Polokwane City Reserves 60%, draw 22%, Chippa United Reserves 18%.

How many goals are expected in Polokwane City Reserves vs Chippa United Reserves?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Polokwane City Reserves 2.12 · Chippa United Reserves 1.1), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Polokwane City Reserves vs Chippa United Reserves?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.