Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 14/10, 20:00

Prediction: CE L'Hospitalet vs CFJ Mollerussa

Team pages: CE L'Hospitalet · CFJ Mollerussa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

CE L'Hospitalet1.48

CFJ Mollerussa0.68

1X2

56% 27% 17%

CE L'Hospitalet Draw CFJ Mollerussa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

CE L'Hospitalet 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

WDWLDDWDDD

CFJ Mollerussa 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLWWLLDW

Head-to-head

CE L'Hospitalet 3–2–1 CFJ Mollerussa (6 last)

CE L'Hospitalet0-0CFJ Mollerussa
CFJ Mollerussa1-2CE L'Hospitalet
CFJ Mollerussa2-1CE L'Hospitalet
CE L'Hospitalet1-1CFJ Mollerussa
CFJ Mollerussa2-5CE L'Hospitalet
CE L'Hospitalet1-0CFJ Mollerussa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CE L'Hospitalet 1517 · CFJ Mollerussa 1507

	CE L'Hospitalet	Draw	CFJ Mollerussa
Our model	55%	29%	16%
Market	57%	25%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CE L'Hospitalet: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CE L'Hospitalet	CFJ Mollerussa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	0.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.5	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.5	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.60

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:02 +7’	1.57	3.60	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CE L'Hospitalet 3–2–1 CFJ Mollerussa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	CE L'Hospitalet	0-0 HT 0-0	CFJ Mollerussa
14/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CFJ Mollerussa	1-2	CE L'Hospitalet
09/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CFJ Mollerussa	2-1	CE L'Hospitalet
26/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	CE L'Hospitalet	1-1 HT 0-1	CFJ Mollerussa
03/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	CFJ Mollerussa	2-5	CE L'Hospitalet
14/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 5	CE L'Hospitalet	1-0 HT 1-0	CFJ Mollerussa

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Badalona	6	3	1	2	10	4	10
2	Pobla Mafumet	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
3	CF Montanesa	5	3	0	2	7	4	9
4	Vilanova Geltru	5	2	3	0	7	5	9
5	CE Europa B	6	2	2	2	10	7	8
6	FC Martinenc	5	2	2	1	11	10	8
7	Atletic Lleida	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
8	FE Grama	5	2	1	2	6	4	7
9	CE L'Hospitalet	5	1	4	0	7	5	7
10	CFJ Mollerussa	5	2	1	2	3	3	7
11	CP San Cristobal	5	2	1	2	5	8	7
12	FC L'Escala	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
13	UE San Juan Montcada	5	2	0	3	5	10	6
14	UE Tona	6	2	0	4	5	9	6
15	UE Cornella	5	1	3	1	6	5	6
16	Peralada	5	1	3	1	6	4	6
17	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
18	UE Vilassar de Mar	6	1	1	4	5	15	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CE L'Hospitalet	CFJ Mollerussa
Cerdanyola del Valles FC	2-2 D	1-0 W
UE Cornella	0-0 D	1-1 D
Atletic Lleida	2-0 W	0-1 L
Vilanova Geltru	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CE L'Hospitalet (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CE L'Hospitalet

WDWLDDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	2-2	15	6	D
19/09	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/09	Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
05/09	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	2-2	9	7	D
10/05	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
03/05	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-3	–	–	L
25/04	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
19/04	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	2-1	4-4	0	13	D
12/04	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	3-0	2	2	W

CFJ Mollerussa

DDDLWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
27/09	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
10/05	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
03/05	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-0	–	–	D
19/04	Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-0	–	–	D
12/04	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	1-2	2-2	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CE L'Hospitalet vs CFJ Mollerussa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CE L'Hospitalet win (56%). Probabilities: CE L'Hospitalet 56%, draw 27%, CFJ Mollerussa 17%.

How many goals are expected in CE L'Hospitalet vs CFJ Mollerussa?

The model expects 2.16 goals (CE L'Hospitalet 1.48 · CFJ Mollerussa 0.68), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CE L'Hospitalet vs CFJ Mollerussa?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.