Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 14/10, 20:00

Prediction: CF Montanesa vs FC L'Escala

Team pages: CF Montanesa · FC L'Escala

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

CF Montanesa1.41

FC L'Escala1.08

1X2

44% 29% 28%

CF Montanesa Draw FC L'Escala

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CF Montanesa 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWWWLL

FC L'Escala 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWLWD

Head-to-head

CF Montanesa 3–3 FC L'Escala (6 last)

CF Montanesa2-1FC L'Escala
FC L'Escala1-0CF Montanesa
FC L'Escala3-1CF Montanesa
CF Montanesa3-0FC L'Escala
FC L'Escala3-1CF Montanesa
CF Montanesa3-1FC L'Escala

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CF Montanesa 1484 · FC L'Escala 1494

	CF Montanesa	Draw	FC L'Escala
Our model	43%	29%	28%
Market	44%	28%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CF Montanesa	FC L'Escala
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/22/33%	0/57/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.3	1.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.20

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:53 +16’	2.05	3.20	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Montanesa 3–0–3 FC L'Escala

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	CF Montanesa	2-1 HT 1-0	FC L'Escala
26/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	FC L'Escala	1-0	CF Montanesa
16/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	FC L'Escala	3-1 HT 1-1	CF Montanesa
06/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	CF Montanesa	3-0 HT 1-0	FC L'Escala
03/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	FC L'Escala	3-1 HT 1-1	CF Montanesa
15/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 5	CF Montanesa	3-1 HT 1-1	FC L'Escala

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Badalona	6	3	1	2	10	4	10
2	Pobla Mafumet	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
3	CF Montanesa	5	3	0	2	7	4	9
4	Vilanova Geltru	5	2	3	0	7	5	9
5	CE Europa B	6	2	2	2	10	7	8
6	FC Martinenc	5	2	2	1	11	10	8
7	Atletic Lleida	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
8	FE Grama	5	2	1	2	6	4	7
9	CE L'Hospitalet	5	1	4	0	7	5	7
10	CFJ Mollerussa	5	2	1	2	3	3	7
11	CP San Cristobal	5	2	1	2	5	8	7
12	FC L'Escala	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
13	UE San Juan Montcada	5	2	0	3	5	10	6
14	UE Tona	6	2	0	4	5	9	6
15	UE Cornella	5	1	3	1	6	5	6
16	Peralada	5	1	3	1	6	4	6
17	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
18	UE Vilassar de Mar	6	1	1	4	5	15	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CF Montanesa	FC L'Escala
FC Martinenc	2-3 L	3-2 W
CE Europa B	0-1 L	2-0 W
FE Grama	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC L'Escala (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CF Montanesa

LWLLLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	1-2	2-3	5	3	L
27/09	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	6	9	L
20/09	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
12/09	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
06/09	UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	3-0	4	8	W
10/05	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-5	–	–	L
03/05	UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
25/04	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
19/04	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
12/04	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-2	2-4	6	3	L

FC L'Escala

WLLWLLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D
27/09	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	1-2	3-2	8	7	W
20/09	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
13/09	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
05/09	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
09/05	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
03/05	Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	–	4-1	–	–	W
26/04	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-2	–	–	L
18/04	CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
16/04	CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	3-0	0	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CF Montanesa vs FC L'Escala?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CF Montanesa win (44%). Probabilities: CF Montanesa 44%, draw 29%, FC L'Escala 28%.

How many goals are expected in CF Montanesa vs FC L'Escala?

The model expects 2.49 goals (CF Montanesa 1.41 · FC L'Escala 1.08), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CF Montanesa vs FC L'Escala?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.