Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 10/10, 20:00
Prediction: Arsenal de Sarandi vs San Martin De Burzaco
Team pages: Arsenal de Sarandi · San Martin De Burzaco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Arsenal de Sarandi1.66
San Martin De Burzaco0.61
1X2
Arsenal de Sarandi
Draw
San Martin De Burzaco
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Arsenal de Sarandi
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
San Martin De Burzaco
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arsenal de Sarandi
0–1
San Martin De Burzaco
(1 last)
- San Martin De Burzaco2-0Arsenal de Sarandi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arsenal de Sarandi 1520 · San Martin De Burzaco 1510
| Arsenal de Sarandi | Draw | San Martin De Burzaco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 26% | 12% |
| Market | 62% | 25% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arsenal de Sarandi | San Martin De Burzaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.7 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arsenal de Sarandi 0–0–1 San Martin De Burzaco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Arsenal de Sarandi |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 30 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 23 | 67 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 28 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 38 | 23 | 64 |
| 6 | Atletico Camioneros | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 43 | 29 | 63 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 60 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 55 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 50 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 41 | 50 |
| 12 | CS Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40 | 42 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 37 | 39 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33 | 39 | 44 |
| 15 | Deportivo Merlo | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 36 | 51 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 30 | 37 | 43 |
| 17 | Deportivo Liniers | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 31 | 39 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33 | 39 | 41 |
| 19 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24 | 37 | 39 |
| 20 | CSD Flandria | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 48 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21 | 35 | 35 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 25 | 62 | 15 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arsenal de Sarandi | San Martin De Burzaco |
|---|---|---|
| Argentino Merlo | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Talleres Remedios | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Deportivo Laferrere | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: San Martin De Burzaco (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arsenal de Sarandi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 25/08 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
San Martin De Burzaco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 15/08 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arsenal de Sarandi vs San Martin De Burzaco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arsenal de Sarandi win (62%). Probabilities: Arsenal de Sarandi 62%, draw 25%, San Martin De Burzaco 13%.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal de Sarandi vs San Martin De Burzaco?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Arsenal de Sarandi 1.66 · San Martin De Burzaco 0.61), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Arsenal de Sarandi vs San Martin De Burzaco?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.