Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 17/10, 20:00

Prediction: Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Armenio

Team pages: Defensores Unidos · Deportivo Armenio

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.69Total

Defensores Unidos0.76

Deportivo Armenio0.93

1X2

29% 34% 38%

Defensores Unidos Draw Deportivo Armenio

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 20%

Recent form · 10 last

Defensores Unidos 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWLWDL

Deportivo Armenio 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWWWWD

Head-to-head

Defensores Unidos 3–3 Deportivo Armenio (6 last)

Deportivo Armenio3-0Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Armenio0-1Defensores Unidos
Defensores Unidos0-1Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Armenio3-1Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Armenio0-1Defensores Unidos
Defensores Unidos2-0Deportivo Armenio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Defensores Unidos 1507 · Deportivo Armenio 1561

	Defensores Unidos	Draw	Deportivo Armenio
Our model	27%	37%	36%
Market	30%	31%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 1.69 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Armenio (rating 1507 vs 1561).
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Defensores Unidos	Deportivo Armenio
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.5	1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X2.88

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 22.05

Under 21.75

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 1.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:05 +4’	3.00	2.88	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores Unidos 3–0–3 Deportivo Armenio

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Armenio	3-0 HT 1-0	Defensores Unidos
22/10/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Armenio	0-1 HT 0-0	Defensores Unidos
30/07/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Defensores Unidos	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Armenio
02/04/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Armenio	3-1 HT 1-0	Defensores Unidos
18/09/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Armenio	0-1 HT 0-0	Defensores Unidos
08/05/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Defensores Unidos	2-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Armenio

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	39	23	8	8	63	30	77
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	39	20	12	7	53	26	72
3	Sportivo Italiano	39	19	11	9	47	29	68
4	Talleres Remedios	39	19	11	9	41	24	68
5	Villa Dalmine	39	17	14	8	39	24	65
6	Atletico Camioneros	39	17	13	9	44	30	64
7	Deportivo Armenio	39	17	10	12	42	38	61
8	Real Pilar	39	17	10	12	42	39	61
9	Club Comunicaciones	39	14	14	11	39	34	56
10	Deportivo Laferrere	39	13	13	13	47	51	52
11	San Martin De Burzaco	39	12	14	13	40	44	50
12	CS Dock Sud	39	11	14	14	40	43	47
13	Villa San Carlos	39	11	14	14	37	43	47
14	Deportivo Merlo	39	10	15	14	37	52	45
15	Argentino Merlo	39	11	11	17	34	41	44
16	Argentino Quilmes	39	9	17	13	32	39	44
17	Deportivo Liniers	39	10	14	15	32	40	44
18	CA Brown de Adrogue	39	9	15	15	25	37	42
19	CSD Flandria	39	11	9	19	35	48	42
20	Defensores Unidos	39	9	14	16	33	40	41
21	UAI Urquiza	39	6	20	13	22	35	38
22	CA Ituzaingo	39	1	13	25	27	64	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Defensores Unidos	Deportivo Armenio
Club Comunicaciones	0-2 L	0-0 D
CS Dock Sud	3-0 W	3-0 W
Deportivo Merlo	0-0 D	1-0 W
Atletico Camioneros	0-0 D	2-1 W
Sportivo Italiano	2-0 W	1-0 W
San Martin De Burzaco	2-0 W	0-0 D
Villa San Carlos	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Armenio (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Defensores Unidos

LWWDDWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
03/10	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
26/09	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
18/09	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	9	L
12/09	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	3-0	7	3	W
06/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
29/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
25/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
22/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	6	8	W
16/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	3	10	L

Deportivo Armenio

WLLWDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
03/10	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	3-0	3	6	W
26/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
19/09	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
12/09	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
05/09	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
30/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
26/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-3	2	4	L
22/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
16/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Armenio?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Armenio win (38%). Probabilities: Defensores Unidos 29%, draw 34%, Deportivo Armenio 38%.

How many goals are expected in Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Armenio?

The model expects 1.69 goals (Defensores Unidos 0.76 · Deportivo Armenio 0.93), with a 60% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Armenio?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.