Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 18/10, 00:00

Prediction: Deportivo Merlo vs Talleres Remedios

Team pages: Deportivo Merlo · Talleres Remedios

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.68Total

Deportivo Merlo0.55

Talleres Remedios1.13

1X2

18% 31% 50%

Deportivo Merlo Draw Talleres Remedios

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

0-1 20%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Merlo 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLDLWLDD

Talleres Remedios 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLDWLD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Merlo 1–3–2 Talleres Remedios (6 last)

Talleres Remedios2-0Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Merlo0-0Talleres Remedios
Talleres Remedios0-1Deportivo Merlo
Talleres Remedios1-1Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Merlo0-0Talleres Remedios
Deportivo Merlo0-1Talleres Remedios

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Merlo 1460 · Talleres Remedios 1516

	Deportivo Merlo	Draw	Talleres Remedios
Our model	17%	34%	49%
Market	20%	29%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 1.68 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Talleres Remedios (rating 1460 vs 1516).
H2H favours Talleres Remedios: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Merlo	Talleres Remedios
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.8	2.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.10

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.02

2 (-0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 1.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:04 +10’	4.50	3.10	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Merlo 1–3–2 Talleres Remedios

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Talleres Remedios	2-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Merlo
03/10/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Merlo	0-0 HT 0-0	Talleres Remedios
28/05/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Talleres Remedios	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Merlo
21/09/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Talleres Remedios	1-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo Merlo
21/05/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Merlo	0-0 HT 0-0	Talleres Remedios
01/08/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Merlo	0-1 HT 0-0	Talleres Remedios

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	39	23	8	8	63	30	77
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	39	20	12	7	53	26	72
3	Sportivo Italiano	39	19	11	9	47	29	68
4	Talleres Remedios	39	19	11	9	41	24	68
5	Villa Dalmine	39	17	14	8	39	24	65
6	Atletico Camioneros	39	17	13	9	44	30	64
7	Deportivo Armenio	39	17	10	12	42	38	61
8	Real Pilar	39	17	10	12	42	39	61
9	Club Comunicaciones	39	14	14	11	39	34	56
10	Deportivo Laferrere	39	13	13	13	47	51	52
11	San Martin De Burzaco	39	12	14	13	40	44	50
12	CS Dock Sud	39	11	14	14	40	43	47
13	Villa San Carlos	39	11	14	14	37	43	47
14	Deportivo Merlo	39	10	15	14	37	52	45
15	Argentino Merlo	39	11	11	17	34	41	44
16	Argentino Quilmes	39	9	17	13	32	39	44
17	Deportivo Liniers	39	10	14	15	32	40	44
18	CA Brown de Adrogue	39	9	15	15	25	37	42
19	CSD Flandria	39	11	9	19	35	48	42
20	Defensores Unidos	39	9	14	16	33	40	41
21	UAI Urquiza	39	6	20	13	22	35	38
22	CA Ituzaingo	39	1	13	25	27	64	16

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Merlo

DDLLDLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
06/10	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
26/09	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	0	3	L
20/09	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
13/09	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
06/09	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
01/09	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
27/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
22/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
15/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	2	D

Talleres Remedios

WLDWWLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
04/10	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
26/09	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
20/09	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
12/09	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	11	3	L
05/09	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	0	0	W
29/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	13	5	W
25/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
22/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Merlo vs Talleres Remedios?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Talleres Remedios win (50%). Probabilities: Deportivo Merlo 18%, draw 31%, Talleres Remedios 50%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Merlo vs Talleres Remedios?

The model expects 1.68 goals (Deportivo Merlo 0.55 · Talleres Remedios 1.13), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Merlo vs Talleres Remedios?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.