Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 09/10, 13:00

Prediction: FC Margveti 2006 vs Guria Lanchkhuti

Team pages: FC Margveti 2006 · Guria Lanchkhuti

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
FC Margveti 20061.14
Guria Lanchkhuti2.04
1X2
21% 21% 58%
FC Margveti 2006 Draw Guria Lanchkhuti
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Margveti 2006 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWLWDDWLWW
Guria Lanchkhuti 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
FC Margveti 2006 0–1 Guria Lanchkhuti (1 last)
  • Guria Lanchkhuti5-0FC Margveti 2006
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Margveti 2006 1505 · Guria Lanchkhuti 1612
FC Margveti 2006DrawGuria Lanchkhuti
Our model20%23%57%
Market21%20%59%
Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guria Lanchkhuti (rating 1505 vs 1612).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Margveti 2006Guria Lanchkhuti
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 13.4 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.51.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.43.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.13.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Margveti 2006 0–0–1 Guria Lanchkhuti

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/04/26
Georgia Liga 3
Guria Lanchkhuti5-0
HT 2-0
FC Margveti 2006

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Margveti 2006Guria Lanchkhuti
Gardabani 3-0 W 5-0 W
Betlemi 5-0 W 5-0 W
FC Merani Tbilisi 0-2 L 5-0 W
FC Orbi 2-1 W 2-1 W
Dinamo Tbilisi II 2-0 W 2-0 W
FC Iberia 1999 II 2-0 W 2-0 W
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 2 L 6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Guria Lanchkhuti (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Margveti 2006

LWLWDDWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/09 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 3-0 –– W
10/09 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
4-0 5-0 73 W
03/09 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-2 43 L
20/08 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 2-1 38 W
12/08 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 1-1 25 D
06/08 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-1 37 D
21/06 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 2-0 15 W
15/06 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-4 42 L
28/05 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 –– W
21/05 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 33 L

Guria Lanchkhuti

WWWWLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/09 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 115 W
10/09 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
3-0 5-0 32 W
27/08 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 5-0 63 W
21/08 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 2-0 56 W
13/08 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
3-0 5-0 34 W
06/08 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 50 L
21/06 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-1 68 W
15/06 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 5-2 73 W
28/05 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-1 –– W
20/05 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
4-0 6-0 62 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Margveti 2006 vs Guria Lanchkhuti?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guria Lanchkhuti win (58%). Probabilities: FC Margveti 2006 21%, draw 21%, Guria Lanchkhuti 58%.

How many goals are expected in FC Margveti 2006 vs Guria Lanchkhuti?

The model expects 3.19 goals (FC Margveti 2006 1.14 · Guria Lanchkhuti 2.04), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Margveti 2006 vs Guria Lanchkhuti?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.