Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 16/10, 16:00

Prediction: Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Wit Georgia

Team pages: Dinamo Tbilisi II · Wit Georgia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Dinamo Tbilisi II1.54

Wit Georgia1.65

1X2

35% 25% 40%

Dinamo Tbilisi II Draw Wit Georgia

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dinamo Tbilisi II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWDDLL

Wit Georgia 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLWWLW

Head-to-head

Dinamo Tbilisi II 4–1–1 Wit Georgia (6 last)

Wit Georgia3-2Dinamo Tbilisi II
Dinamo Tbilisi II2-1Wit Georgia
Wit Georgia0-1Dinamo Tbilisi II
Dinamo Tbilisi II2-0Wit Georgia
Wit Georgia1-2Dinamo Tbilisi II
Wit Georgia0-0Dinamo Tbilisi II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dinamo Tbilisi II 1505 · Wit Georgia 1528

	Dinamo Tbilisi II	Draw	Wit Georgia
Our model	35%	26%	40%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dinamo Tbilisi II: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dinamo Tbilisi II	Wit Georgia
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.1	2.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:59 +5’	2.55	3.60	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Tbilisi II 4–1–1 Wit Georgia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Georgia Liga 3	Wit Georgia	3-2 HT 0-1	Dinamo Tbilisi II
22/11/24 Georgia First League	Dinamo Tbilisi II	2-1 HT 0-0	Wit Georgia
14/09/24 Georgia First League	Wit Georgia	0-1 HT 0-1	Dinamo Tbilisi II
28/05/24 Georgia First League	Dinamo Tbilisi II	2-0 HT 0-0	Wit Georgia
13/04/24 Georgia First League	Wit Georgia	1-2 HT 1-0	Dinamo Tbilisi II
27/10/23 Georgia First League	Wit Georgia	0-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Tbilisi II

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dinamo Tbilisi II	Wit Georgia
Guria Lanchkhuti	0-2 L	1-0 W
FC Iberia 1999 II	1-1 D	0-3 L
Lokomotiv Tbilisi	1-1 D	2-1 W
FC Iberia 2010	4-3 W	2-1 W
Kolkheti	3-2 W	2-3 L
FC Margveti 2006	0-2 L	1-1 D
Gardabani	4-1 W	5-0 W
FC Merani Tbilisi	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wit Georgia (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dinamo Tbilisi II

LWLWWWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FC Tbilisi 2025 Georgia Liga 3	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
17/09	Guria Lanchkhuti Georgia Liga 3	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
03/09	FC Iberia 1999 II Georgia Liga 3	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
27/08	Lokomotiv Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
20/08	Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3	2-0	5-2	5	4	W
13/08	FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3	3-1	4-3	1	8	W
06/08	Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3	1-1	3-2	11	3	W
21/06	FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3	0-2	0-2	9	5	L
15/06	Gardabani Georgia Liga 3	2-0	4-1	4	3	W
21/05	FC Merani Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	0-1	0-1	6	2	L

Wit Georgia

WLLWDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	FC Gonio Georgia Liga 3	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
17/09	FC Iberia 1999 II Georgia Liga 3	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
09/09	Lokomotiv Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
26/08	FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
20/08	Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3	2-2	2-3	2	2	L
12/08	FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3	1-1	1-1	10	5	D
06/08	Gardabani Georgia Liga 3	1-0	5-0	5	3	W
14/06	FC Merani Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
21/05	FC Orbi Georgia Liga 3	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
15/05	Guria Lanchkhuti Georgia Liga 3	0-0	1-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Wit Georgia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wit Georgia win (40%). Probabilities: Dinamo Tbilisi II 35%, draw 25%, Wit Georgia 40%.

How many goals are expected in Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Wit Georgia?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Dinamo Tbilisi II 1.54 · Wit Georgia 1.65), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Wit Georgia?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.