Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 16/10, 17:00

Prediction: FC Gonio vs FC Orbi

Team pages: FC Gonio · FC Orbi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
FC Gonio1.87
FC Orbi1.25
1X2
51% 24% 25%
FC Gonio Draw FC Orbi
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Gonio 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWWDLDWL
FC Orbi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLDWLWLLD
Head-to-head
FC Gonio 0–1–1 FC Orbi (2 last)
  • FC Orbi4-0FC Gonio
  • FC Orbi2-2FC Gonio
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gonio 1518 · FC Orbi 1474
FC GonioDrawFC Orbi
Our model51%25%25%
Market51%24%25%
Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Gonio (rating 1518 vs 1474).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC GonioFC Orbi
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 11.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.91.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.15.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gonio 0–1–1 FC Orbi

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Georgia Liga 3
FC Orbi4-0
HT 2-0
FC Gonio
05/09/24
Georgia Liga 3
FC Orbi2-2
HT 0-2
FC Gonio

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC GonioFC Orbi
Wit Georgia 0-2 L 1-0 W
FC Iberia 1999 II 2-2 D 3-3 D
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 0-4 L 0-2 L
FC Iberia 2010 2-0 W 2-3 L
FC Margveti 2006 4-0 W 1-2 L
Gardabani 6-0 W 3-0 W
FC Merani Tbilisi 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Gonio (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gonio

DWWWWDLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/10 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-2 66 L
17/09 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-0 26 W
28/08 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-2 75 D
20/08 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-4 60 L
13/08 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-1 136 D
06/08 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 34 W
15/06 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 4-0 22 W
28/05 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 6-0 –– W
21/05 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 3-0 45 W
14/05 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-1 16 D

FC Orbi

WLLDWLWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 3-3 54 D
17/09 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-2 011 L
03/09 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
1-2 2-3 97 L
27/08 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-0 62 W
20/08 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-2 48 L
13/08 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 3-0 32 W
21/06 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-1 16 D
15/06 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-3 35 L
28/05 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-2 –– L
21/05 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 62 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gonio vs FC Orbi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Gonio win (51%). Probabilities: FC Gonio 51%, draw 24%, FC Orbi 25%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gonio vs FC Orbi?

The model expects 3.12 goals (FC Gonio 1.87 · FC Orbi 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gonio vs FC Orbi?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.