Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 16/10, 13:00

Prediction: Guria Lanchkhuti vs FC Tbilisi 2025

Team pages: Guria Lanchkhuti · FC Tbilisi 2025

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Guria Lanchkhuti1.85
FC Tbilisi 20251.06
1X2
55% 24% 21%
Guria Lanchkhuti Draw FC Tbilisi 2025
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Guria Lanchkhuti 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWWWWW
FC Tbilisi 2025 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDWDWDLW
Head-to-head
Guria Lanchkhuti 0–2–4 FC Tbilisi 2025 (6 last)
  • FC Tbilisi 20251-1Guria Lanchkhuti
  • Guria Lanchkhuti0-2FC Tbilisi 2025
  • FC Tbilisi 20254-0Guria Lanchkhuti
  • Guria Lanchkhuti1-1FC Tbilisi 2025
  • FC Tbilisi 20251-0Guria Lanchkhuti
  • FC Tbilisi 20253-1Guria Lanchkhuti
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guria Lanchkhuti 1625 · FC Tbilisi 2025 1575
Guria LanchkhutiDrawFC Tbilisi 2025
Our model55%25%20%
Market56%23%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guria Lanchkhuti (rating 1625 vs 1575).
  • H2H favours FC Tbilisi 2025: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Guria LanchkhutiFC Tbilisi 2025
Goals for / against (FT)3.2 / 0.52.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.11.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/30/0%70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.32.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.23.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guria Lanchkhuti 0–2–4 FC Tbilisi 2025

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Georgia Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 20251-1
HT 1-1
Guria Lanchkhuti
31/10/24
Georgia Liga 3
Guria Lanchkhuti0-2
HT 0-1
FC Tbilisi 2025
09/05/24
Georgia Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 20254-0
HT 0-0
Guria Lanchkhuti
25/11/23
Georgia Liga 3
Guria Lanchkhuti1-1
HT 1-1
FC Tbilisi 2025
17/08/23
Georgia Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 20251-0
HT 1-0
Guria Lanchkhuti
03/07/22
Georgia Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 20253-1
HT 2-1
Guria Lanchkhuti

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGuria LanchkhutiFC Tbilisi 2025
FC Margveti 2006 4-0 W 1-1 D
Dinamo Tbilisi II 2-0 W 3-0 W
Gardabani 5-0 W 3-1 W
Betlemi 5-0 W 7-1 W
FC Merani Tbilisi 5-0 W 2-0 W
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 0-1 L 3-3 D
Iveria Khashuri 5-2 W 5-0 W
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 1 L 5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tbilisi 2025 (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guria Lanchkhuti

WWWLWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 4-0 25 W
17/09 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 115 W
10/09 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
3-0 5-0 32 W
27/08 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 5-0 63 W
21/08 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 2-0 56 W
13/08 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
3-0 5-0 34 W
06/08 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 50 L
21/06 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-1 68 W
15/06 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 5-2 73 W
28/05 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-1 –– W

FC Tbilisi 2025

WWWDWDWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 3-0 44 W
17/09 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-1 46 L
03/09 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 3-3 33 D
27/08 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 5-0 73 W
20/08 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-0 103 D
13/08 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 4-0 51 W
06/08 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-1 37 D
21/06 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
2-1 3-1 60 W
15/06 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 7-1 72 W
28/05 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guria Lanchkhuti vs FC Tbilisi 2025?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guria Lanchkhuti win (55%). Probabilities: Guria Lanchkhuti 55%, draw 24%, FC Tbilisi 2025 21%.

How many goals are expected in Guria Lanchkhuti vs FC Tbilisi 2025?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Guria Lanchkhuti 1.85 · FC Tbilisi 2025 1.06), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Guria Lanchkhuti vs FC Tbilisi 2025?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.