Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 09/10, 13:00

Prediction: FC Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri

Team pages: FC Merani Tbilisi · Iveria Khashuri

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
FC Merani Tbilisi2.13
Iveria Khashuri1.09
1X2
60% 22% 18%
FC Merani Tbilisi Draw Iveria Khashuri
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Merani Tbilisi 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDDLWWWD
Iveria Khashuri 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LDWDLDLDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Merani Tbilisi 1518 · Iveria Khashuri 1451
FC Merani TbilisiDrawIveria Khashuri
Our model60%22%18%
Market60%22%18%
Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Merani Tbilisi (rating 1518 vs 1451).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Merani TbilisiIveria Khashuri
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.40.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.72.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.24 / 0.3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Merani TbilisiIveria Khashuri
FC Iberia 2010 2-2 D 1-1 D
FC Margveti 2006 2-0 W 2-0 W
Guria Lanchkhuti 0-5 L 2-5 L
FC Didube 2014 2-2 D 0-0 D
FC Tbilisi 2025 0-2 L 0-5 L
Dinamo Tbilisi II 1-0 W 2-5 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Merani Tbilisi (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Merani Tbilisi

WLWDDLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/09 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-2 113 D
10/09 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 4-1 80 W
03/09 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-0 23 W
27/08 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 4-1 45 W
13/08 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-3 0-5 14 L
06/08 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 2-2 37 D
21/06 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-1 76 D
14/06 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 42 W
28/05 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-2 –– L
21/05 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-0 22 W

Iveria Khashuri

LDWDLDLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/08 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-5 43 L
20/08 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 2-5 74 L
13/08 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-1 26 D
06/08 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 34 L
21/06 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-0 53 D
15/06 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 2-5 23 L
28/05 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-1 –– D
14/05 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 16 W
24/04 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-0 06 D
20/04 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-2 64 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Merani Tbilisi win (60%). Probabilities: FC Merani Tbilisi 60%, draw 22%, Iveria Khashuri 18%.

How many goals are expected in FC Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri?

The model expects 3.22 goals (FC Merani Tbilisi 2.13 · Iveria Khashuri 1.09), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.