Football · Bangladesh Premier League · 23/10, 10:45
Prediction: Brothers Union vs Dhaka Abahani
Team pages: Brothers Union · Dhaka Abahani
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Brothers Union0.69
Dhaka Abahani2.39
1X2
Brothers Union
Draw
Dhaka Abahani
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Brothers Union
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Dhaka Abahani
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brothers Union
2–1–3
Dhaka Abahani
(6 last)
- Brothers Union1-2Dhaka Abahani
- Dhaka Abahani0-1Brothers Union
- Dhaka Abahani1-2Brothers Union
- Dhaka Abahani3-0Brothers Union
- Brothers Union0-0Dhaka Abahani
- Dhaka Abahani7-1Brothers Union
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brothers Union 1445 · Dhaka Abahani 1578
| Brothers Union | Draw | Dhaka Abahani | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 17% | 74% |
| Market | 9% | 16% | 75% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dhaka Abahani (rating 1445 vs 1578).
- H2H favours Dhaka Abahani: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brothers Union | Dhaka Abahani | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.5 | 2.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 2.5 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brothers Union 2–1–3 Dhaka Abahani
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Bangladesh Premier League | Brothers Union | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Dhaka Abahani |
| 09/12/25 Bangladesh Federation Cup | Dhaka Abahani | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Brothers Union |
| 19/10/25 Bangladesh Premier League | Dhaka Abahani | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Brothers Union |
| 27/05/25 Bangladesh Premier League | Dhaka Abahani | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Brothers Union |
| 25/01/25 Bangladesh Premier League | Brothers Union | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dhaka Abahani |
| 17/05/24 Bangladesh Premier League | Dhaka Abahani | 7-1 HT 1-0 | Brothers Union |
Standings · Bangladesh Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bangladesh Police Club | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Mohammedan Dhaka | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Fortis FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Bashundhara Kings | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Dhaka Abahani | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | MSPCC City Club | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Rahmatgonj MFS | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 8 | PWD Sports Club | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Arambagh KS | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 10 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
| 11 | Brothers Union | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
| 12 | Chattogram City FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 | Dhaka Wanderers Club | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brothers Union | Dhaka Abahani |
|---|---|---|
| Fortis FC | 0-6 L | 1-0 W |
| PWD Sports Club | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Mohammedan Dhaka | 0-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Arambagh KS | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| Bashundhara Kings | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dhaka Abahani (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brothers Union
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/10 | Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 02/10 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 18/09 | MSPCC City Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/04 | Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Dhaka Abahani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Chattogram City FC Bangladesh Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Dhaka Wanderers Club Bangladesh Premier League |
3-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/09 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 08/05 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/04 | Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 10/04 | Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brothers Union vs Dhaka Abahani?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dhaka Abahani win (75%). Probabilities: Brothers Union 9%, draw 17%, Dhaka Abahani 75%.
How many goals are expected in Brothers Union vs Dhaka Abahani?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Brothers Union 0.69 · Dhaka Abahani 2.39), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Brothers Union vs Dhaka Abahani?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.