Prediction: Ashington vs Pontefract Collieries
Team pages: Ashington
- Pontefract Collieries5-0Ashington
- Pontefract Collieries3-3Ashington
| Ashington | Draw | Pontefract Collieries | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | 24% | 23% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pontefract Collieries (rating 1448 vs 1526).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ashington | Pontefract Collieries | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 2.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.6 | 2.8 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ashington 0–1–1 Pontefract Collieries
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/25 England Northern League Division One | Pontefract Collieries | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Ashington |
| 05/03/24 England Northern League Division One | Pontefract Collieries | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Ashington |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ashington | Pontefract Collieries |
|---|---|---|
| Grimsby Borough | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Dunston UTS | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Bridlington Town | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Pontefract Collieries (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashington
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Grimsby Borough England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 29/09 | West Auckland England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/09 | Guisborough Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | Garforth Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 25/08 | Dunston UTS England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 19/08 | Guisborough Town England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Stocksbridge PS England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 27/03 | Dunston UTS England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/03 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Pontefract Collieries
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Blyth Spartans England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Liversedge England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Dunston UTS England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Emley AFC England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Lincoln Utd England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | North Ferriby England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/02 | Blyth Town England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 21/02 | Bishop Auckland England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/02 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 31/01 | Grimsby Borough England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashington vs Pontefract Collieries?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pontefract Collieries win (53%). Probabilities: Ashington 24%, draw 23%, Pontefract Collieries 53%.
How many goals are expected in Ashington vs Pontefract Collieries?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Ashington 1.27 · Pontefract Collieries 1.98), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ashington vs Pontefract Collieries?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.