Prediction: Lincoln Utd vs Ashington
Team pages: Lincoln Utd · Ashington
| Lincoln Utd | Draw | Ashington | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lincoln Utd (rating 1534 vs 1446).
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lincoln Utd | Ashington | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lincoln Utd | Ashington |
|---|---|---|
| Garforth Town | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Stocksbridge PS | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Hallam | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Pontefract Collieries | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lincoln Utd (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lincoln Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Bradford P A England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/09 | Beverley Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 22/09 | Garforth Town England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Liversedge England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/08 | Stocksbridge PS England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 11/08 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/03 | Brighouse Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/03 | Brighouse Town England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/02 | Garforth Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Ashington
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Grimsby Borough England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 29/09 | West Auckland England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/09 | Guisborough Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | Garforth Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 25/08 | Dunston UTS England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 19/08 | Guisborough Town England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Stocksbridge PS England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 27/03 | Dunston UTS England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lincoln Utd vs Ashington?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lincoln Utd win (55%). Probabilities: Lincoln Utd 55%, draw 23%, Ashington 21%.
How many goals are expected in Lincoln Utd vs Ashington?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Lincoln Utd 1.97 · Ashington 1.16), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lincoln Utd vs Ashington?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.