Prediction: Lower Breck vs Mossley

Team pages: Lower Breck · Mossley

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
Lower Breck1.9
Mossley1.69
1X2
42% 24% 34%
Lower Breck Draw Mossley
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Lower Breck 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDDLLDDWLW
Mossley 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDWDLDLWWW
Head-to-head
Lower Breck 0–1 Mossley (1 last)
  • Mossley2-0Lower Breck
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lower Breck 1480 · Mossley 1537
Lower BreckDrawMossley
Our model42%24%34%
Market42%25%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mossley (rating 1480 vs 1537).
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lower BreckMossley
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.11.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 1.20.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/11/67%22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.82.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.32.8 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lower Breck 0–0–1 Mossley

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/08/21
England FA Cup Qualification
Mossley2-0Lower Breck

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLower BreckMossley
Clitheroe 1-0 W 0-1 L
Newcastle Town 3-3 D 3-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lower Breck

LDDLLDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/09 Atherton Collieries
England Northern League Division One
5-1 6-1 11 W
25/08 Runcorn Linnets
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-3 24 L
18/08 Clitheroe
England Northern League Division One
– 1-0 –– W
28/04 Avro FC
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 75 D
04/04 Kidsgrove Ath
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 76 D
17/03 Trafford
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-4 54 L
10/02 Witton Albion
England Northern League Division One
2-1 3-4 85 L
30/12 Bootle
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 57 D
22/11 Newcastle Town
England Northern League Division One
1-3 3-3 54 D
12/11 Avro FC
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-3 31 L

Mossley

DDWDLDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/10 Prescot Cables
England Northern League Division One
1-1 3-2 73 W
03/10 Hanley Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-1 121 W
22/09 1874 Northwich
England Northern League Division One
2-1 3-2 53 W
08/09 Clitheroe
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-1 29 L
05/09 Nantwich Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 53 D
18/08 Vauxhall Motors
England Northern League Division One
– 1-2 –– L
03/04 Nantwich Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-1 62 D
21/03 Newcastle Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 3-2 63 W
07/03 Shifnal Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 72 D
07/02 Wythenshawe Town
England Northern League Division One
0-2 3-3 25 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lower Breck vs Mossley?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lower Breck win (42%). Probabilities: Lower Breck 42%, draw 24%, Mossley 34%.

How many goals are expected in Lower Breck vs Mossley?

The model expects 3.58 goals (Lower Breck 1.9 · Mossley 1.69), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lower Breck vs Mossley?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.